Division Profesional - Apertura — xG (Expected Goals)
Paraguay · 2026
Paraguay — Division Profesional - Apertura 2026 — Detailed Stats
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data available for 22 games| # | Team | MP | xGF | xGF/g | xGA | xGA/g | GF | GA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olimpia | 20 | 32.6 | 1.63 | 21.1 | 1.06 | 34 | 17 | +1.4 |
| 2 |  Libertad Asuncion | 21 | 31.1 | 1.48 | 23.8 | 1.13 | 34 | 26 | +2.9 |
| 3 |  Cerro Porteno | 21 | 29.6 | 1.41 | 24.5 | 1.17 | 30 | 19 | +0.4 |
| 4 |  Nacional Asuncion | 21 | 28.7 | 1.37 | 19.9 | 0.95 | 31 | 22 | +2.3 |
| 5 |  Club Guarani | 22 | 28.0 | 1.27 | 27.5 | 1.25 | 27 | 23 | -1 |
| 6 |  Sportivo Trinidense | 21 | 27.9 | 1.33 | 25.8 | 1.23 | 30 | 24 | +2.1 |
| 7 |  Sportivo Luqueno | 21 | 26.3 | 1.25 | 31.6 | 1.51 | 24 | 33 | -2.3 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Recoleta | 22 | 26.0 | 1.18 | 31.0 | 1.41 | 35 | 32 | +9 |
| 9 |  Sportivo Ameliano | 21 | 24.6 | 1.17 | 19.6 | 0.93 | 27 | 21 | +2.4 |
| 10 |  Rubio NU | 20 | 22.3 | 1.11 | 27.1 | 1.36 | 15 | 26 | -7.3 |
| 11 |  2 de Mayo | 21 | 19.3 | 0.92 | 34.0 | 1.62 | 18 | 35 | -1.3 |
| 12 |  Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 13 | 12.3 | 0.95 | 22.9 | 1.76 | 14 | 41 | +1.7 |
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
LEAGUE xG STATS
12 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.26
League avg xGA/g: 1.28
Best overperformer: Deportivo Recoleta (+9.0)
Biggest underperformer: Rubio NU (-7.3)
Division Profesional - Apertura (Paraguay) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
The Division Profesional - Apertura (Paraguay) averages 1.26 xG per game this season. Olimpia creates the most chances with 1.63 xGF per game, while 2 de Mayo creates the fewest with 0.92 xGF per game. Deportivo Recoleta is over-performing their xG (35 goals vs 26.0 xGF) — regression likely. Rubio NU is under-performing (15 goals vs 22.3 xGF) — improvement expected.
Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets
xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.
Expected Goals (xG) — Paraguay
- Copa Paraguay xG— Division Pro
- Division Intermedia xG— Division Silver
- Division Profesional - Clausura xG— Division Gold
- Supercopa xG— Division Gold