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First League

First League — xG (Expected Goals)

Russia · 2026/27

Russia — First League 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 10 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Ska-khabarovsk1014.51.4517.61.762028+5.5
2Spartak Kostroma914.11.5613.61.512216+7.9
3Arsenal Tula913.61.5121.12.341933+5.4
4Nizhny Novgorod813.61.707.00.884815+34.4
5Chelyabinsk1013.21.3215.81.582126+7.8
6Ural1012.31.2311.41.142711+14.7
7Shinnik Yaroslavl912.31.3711.01.222017+7.7
8Rotor Volgograd712.31.768.31.192318+10.7
9Veles1012.31.2310.61.062120+8.7
10Torpedo Moskva1011.91.1910.11.012813+16.1
11Tekstilshchik1011.91.1919.81.981226+0.1
12Volga Ulyanovsk1011.41.147.90.792223+10.6
13FC UFA1011.41.1411.01.101815+6.6
14Leningradets1011.01.1013.21.321526+4
15Enisey811.01.378.81.101633+5
16KAMAZ810.11.276.20.772028+9.9
17FK Neftekhimik910.11.1210.61.171124+0.9
18FC Sochi99.21.0312.31.372617+16.8
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
Rotor VolgogradHigh xGF1.76
Nizhny NovgorodHigh xGF1.70
Spartak KostromaHigh xGF1.56
FC SochiLow xGF1.03
LeningradetsLow xGF1.10
FK NeftekhimikLow xGF1.12

LEAGUE xG STATS

18 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.32
League avg xGA/g: 1.29
Best overperformer: Nizhny Novgorod (+34.4)

First League (Russia) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The First League (Russia) averages 1.32 xG per game this season. Rotor Volgograd creates the most chances with 1.76 xGF per game, while FC Sochi creates the fewest with 1.03 xGF per game. Nizhny Novgorod is over-performing their xG (48 goals vs 13.6 xGF) — regression likely.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Russia