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Premier League

Premier League — xG (Expected Goals)

Russia · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 13 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Zenit1323.91.8413.01.003013+6.1
2Dynamo1323.81.8312.30.952112-2.8
3Spartak Moscow1322.81.7516.11.242510+2.2
4Krylia Sovetov1320.61.5819.61.511720-3.6
5CSKA Moscow1319.91.5315.81.222112+1.1
6FC Orenburg1318.61.4315.71.201412-4.6
7FC Krasnodar1318.61.4313.11.012116+2.4
8FC Rostov1317.51.3514.71.131617-1.5
9Baltika1316.41.2612.30.941714+0.6
10Dinamo Makhachkala1316.21.2520.51.581626-0.2
11Akhmat1315.81.2216.61.271519-0.8
12Lokomotiv1314.61.1223.61.821620+1.4
13Akron1314.21.0921.61.661623+1.8
14Rodina Moskva1312.70.9826.72.051528+2.3
15Rubin1311.40.8818.01.381318+1.6
16Fakel1310.30.8017.61.35821-2.3
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
ZenitHigh xGF1.84
DynamoHigh xGF1.83
Spartak MoscowHigh xGF1.75
FakelLow xGF0.80
RubinLow xGF0.88
Rodina MoskvaLow xGF0.98

LEAGUE xG STATS

16 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.33
League avg xGA/g: 1.33
Best overperformer: Zenit (+6.1)
Biggest underperformer: FC Orenburg (-4.6)

Premier League (Russia) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Premier League (Russia) averages 1.33 xG per game this season. Zenit creates the most chances with 1.84 xGF per game, while Fakel creates the fewest with 0.80 xGF per game. Zenit is over-performing their xG (30 goals vs 23.9 xGF) — regression likely. FC Orenburg is under-performing (14 goals vs 18.6 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Russia