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Confederations Cup

Confederations Cup — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2017

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 5 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Mexico510.72.156.41.28810-2.7
2Portugal58.71.744.60.9393+0.3
3Germany47.31.815.81.45115+3.8
4Chile45.51.383.20.8042-1.5
5Russia32.90.974.61.5533+0.1
6Australia32.60.874.31.4545+1.4
7New Zealand32.60.878.12.7118-1.6
8Cameroon31.70.584.91.6426+0.3
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
MexicoHigh xGF2.15
GermanyHigh xGF1.81
PortugalHigh xGF1.74
CameroonLow xGF0.58
New ZealandLow xGF0.87
AustraliaLow xGF0.87

LEAGUE xG STATS

8 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.30
League avg xGA/g: 1.48
Best overperformer: Germany (+3.8)
Biggest underperformer: Mexico (-2.7)

Confederations Cup (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Confederations Cup (World) averages 1.30 xG per game this season. Mexico creates the most chances with 2.15 xGF per game, while Cameroon creates the fewest with 0.58 xGF per game. Germany is over-performing their xG (11 goals vs 7.3 xGF) — regression likely. Mexico is under-performing (8 goals vs 10.7 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World