MatchPulse
FIFA Club World Cup

FIFA Club World Cup — xG (Expected Goals)

World · 2025/26

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 6 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Manchester City413.93.483.60.89166+2.1
2Paris Saint Germain613.32.214.90.81161+2.7
3Chelsea613.02.167.51.24145+1
4Real Madrid611.31.899.71.62118-0.3
5Bayern München511.02.205.21.04166+5
6Benfica49.12.276.51.62106+0.9
7Borussia Dortmund59.11.818.81.7597-0.1
8Fluminense67.51.247.11.1985+0.5
9Al Ahly37.12.384.21.4046-3.1
10Palmeiras56.51.305.21.0464-0.5
11Flamengo46.51.623.60.8986+1.5
12Al-Hilal Saudi FC56.21.2310.72.1486+1.8
13CF Pachuca36.22.053.61.1927-4.1
14Monterrey45.51.384.21.0563+0.5
15Inter Miami45.21.308.72.1947-1.2
16Boca Juniors34.91.622.90.9745-0.9
17Botafogo44.91.225.51.3833-1.9
18Juventus44.51.1410.72.67117+6.5
19Red Bull Salzburg34.51.514.51.5124-2.5
20Inter44.21.063.20.8154+0.8
21River Plate34.21.403.61.1933-1.2
22FC Porto34.21.407.12.3856+0.8
23Atletico Madrid34.21.405.81.9445-0.2
24Al Ain33.61.196.52.16212-1.6
25Urawa33.61.195.21.7329-1.6
26Wydad AC33.21.084.51.5128-1.2
27Seattle Sounders32.90.976.52.1627-0.9
28Mamelodi Sundowns32.90.972.90.9744+1.1
29Ulsan Hyundai FC32.90.976.82.2726-0.9
30ES Tunis32.30.764.21.4115-1.3
31Los Angeles FC32.30.764.91.6214-1.3
32Auckland City31.60.5413.94.64117-0.6
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
Manchester CityHigh xGF3.48
Al AhlyHigh xGF2.38
BenficaHigh xGF2.27
Auckland CityLow xGF0.54
Los Angeles FCLow xGF0.76
ES TunisLow xGF0.76

LEAGUE xG STATS

32 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.49
League avg xGA/g: 1.61
Best overperformer: Juventus (+6.5)
Biggest underperformer: CF Pachuca (-4.2)

FIFA Club World Cup (World) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The FIFA Club World Cup (World) averages 1.49 xG per game this season. Manchester City creates the most chances with 3.48 xGF per game, while Auckland City creates the fewest with 0.54 xGF per game. Juventus is over-performing their xG (11 goals vs 4.5 xGF) — regression likely. CF Pachuca is under-performing (2 goals vs 6.2 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — World