Premiership — xG (Expected Goals)
Scotland · 2026/27
Scotland — Premiership 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data available for 6 games| # | Team | MP | xGF | xGF/g | xGA | xGA/g | GF | GA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 19.1 | 3.18 | 4.9 | 0.82 | 14 | 3 | -5.1 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 6 | 10.6 | 1.76 | 6.5 | 1.09 | 7 | 4 | -3.6 |
| 3 |  Dundee Utd | 6 | 9.5 | 1.58 | 9.5 | 1.58 | 6 | 11 | -3.5 |
| 4 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 5 | 8.5 | 1.70 | 5.4 | 1.08 | 12 | 5 | +3.5 |
| 5 |  Motherwell | 5 | 8.1 | 1.62 | 6.5 | 1.31 | 8 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 6 |  Hibernian | 5 | 8.0 | 1.60 | 7.3 | 1.46 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 7 |  ST Mirren | 6 | 7.6 | 1.27 | 8.9 | 1.49 | 8 | 6 | +0.4 |
| 8 |  ST Johnstone | 6 | 7.0 | 1.16 | 7.7 | 1.29 | 8 | 9 | +1 |
| 9 |  Dundee | 6 | 5.9 | 0.99 | 9.6 | 1.61 | 7 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 5 | 4.5 | 0.91 | 9.8 | 1.97 | 2 | 7 | -2.5 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 5 | 4.3 | 0.87 | 11.6 | 2.32 | 4 | 14 | -0.3 |
| 12 |  Falkirk | 5 | 4.2 | 0.84 | 9.4 | 1.88 | 3 | 7 | -1.2 |
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
LEAGUE xG STATS
12 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.46
League avg xGA/g: 1.49
Best overperformer: Heart Of Midlothian (+3.5)
Biggest underperformer: Celtic (-5.1)
Premiership (Scotland) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
The Premiership (Scotland) averages 1.46 xG per game this season. Celtic creates the most chances with 3.18 xGF per game, while Falkirk creates the fewest with 0.84 xGF per game. Heart Of Midlothian is over-performing their xG (12 goals vs 8.5 xGF) — regression likely. Celtic is under-performing (14 goals vs 19.1 xGF) — improvement expected.
Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets
xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.
Expected Goals (xG) — Scotland
- Challenge Cup xG— Division Silver
- Championship xG— Division Gold
- FA Cup xG— Division Gold
- Football League - Championship xG— Division Silver
- Football League - Highland League xG— Division Regional
- Football League - Lowland League xG— Division Regional
- League Cup xG— Division Gold
- League One xG— Division Pro
- League Two xG— Division SemiPro
- SWF Scottish Cup xG— Division Women's Pro
- SWPL Cup xG— Division Women's Pro