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Jupiler Pro League

Jupiler Pro League — xG (Expected Goals)

Belgium · 2026/27

Belgium — Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 10 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Club Brugge KV1024.42.4411.51.15268+1.6
2Union St. Gilloise1020.72.0710.31.03297+8.3
3Charleroi1019.21.9212.21.222112+1.8
4St. Truiden1018.51.8518.01.801821-0.5
5Anderlecht1017.41.7410.11.011311-4.4
6Standard Liege1017.41.7419.61.961516-2.4
7KVC Westerlo916.41.8313.71.522525+8.6
8Genk915.11.689.81.091814+2.9
9OH Leuven1014.11.4118.01.801017-4.1
10Cercle Brugge1013.71.3717.51.751322-0.7
11Gent1013.61.369.30.93196+5.4
12Antwerp1013.11.3121.22.121622+2.9
13Zulte Waregem1012.61.2614.41.441216-0.6
14RAAL La Louvière1011.31.1319.91.991323+1.7
15Lommel United1010.71.0717.11.711311+2.3
16SK Beveren1010.41.0416.41.641320+2.6
17KV Mechelen99.61.0712.61.401017+0.4
18Kortrijk98.70.9615.41.72319-5.7
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Club Brugge KVHigh xGF2.44
Union St. GilloiseHigh xGF2.07
CharleroiHigh xGF1.92
KortrijkLow xGF0.96
SK BeverenLow xGF1.04
KV MechelenLow xGF1.07

LEAGUE xG STATS

18 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.51
League avg xGA/g: 1.52
Best overperformer: KVC Westerlo (+8.6)
Biggest underperformer: Kortrijk (-5.7)

Jupiler Pro League (Belgium) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Jupiler Pro League (Belgium) averages 1.51 xG per game this season. Club Brugge KV creates the most chances with 2.44 xGF per game, while Kortrijk creates the fewest with 0.96 xGF per game. KVC Westerlo is over-performing their xG (25 goals vs 16.4 xGF) — regression likely. Kortrijk is under-performing (3 goals vs 8.7 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Belgium