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Serie B

Serie B — xG (Expected Goals)

Italy · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 10 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Palermo1021.12.1115.91.592412+2.9
2Pisa1019.61.9610.31.031815-1.6
3Hellas Verona1017.71.7712.01.201913+1.3
4Modena1017.41.748.80.881810+0.6
5Benevento1015.81.589.50.951410-1.8
6Ascoli1015.01.5012.61.26166+1
7Mantova1014.51.4512.51.251511+0.5
8Carrarese1014.01.4011.21.12913-5
9Avellino1013.71.3713.21.321510+1.3
10Juve Stabia1012.81.2812.41.241111-1.8
11Cesena1012.31.2312.81.281114-1.3
12Cremonese1012.01.2013.01.301011-2
13Sudtirol1011.91.1915.41.541110-0.9
14Sampdoria1011.81.1812.71.271018-1.8
15Padova1011.41.1418.31.831011-1.4
16Vicenza Virtus1011.11.1118.21.821320+1.9
17Virtus Entella1011.11.1111.01.101112-0.1
18Catanzaro1010.81.0818.91.891122+0.2
19Empoli109.70.9717.31.731017+0.3
20Arezzo108.60.8616.61.66919+0.4
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
PalermoHigh xGF2.11
PisaHigh xGF1.96
Hellas VeronaHigh xGF1.77
ArezzoLow xGF0.86
EmpoliLow xGF0.97
CatanzaroLow xGF1.08

LEAGUE xG STATS

20 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.36
League avg xGA/g: 1.36
Best overperformer: Palermo (+2.9)
Biggest underperformer: Carrarese (-5.0)

Serie B (Italy) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Serie B (Italy) averages 1.36 xG per game this season. Palermo creates the most chances with 2.11 xGF per game, while Arezzo creates the fewest with 0.86 xGF per game. Palermo is over-performing their xG (24 goals vs 21.1 xGF) — regression likely. Carrarese is under-performing (9 goals vs 14.0 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Italy