MatchPulse
Serie A

Serie A — xG (Expected Goals)

Italy · 2026/27

Italy — Serie A 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
Competition
Home & Away TablesForm TableHome AdvantageAway AdvantageDrawsPredictions
Goals
AVG TotalGoals ScoredGoals ConcededClean SheetsBTTSFailed To ScorexG (Expected Goals)
Over/Under
Over 0.5 ~ 5.5 TablesUnder 0.5 ~ 5.5 TablesCorner StatsCard StatsShot Stats
More
1st Half Table2nd Half TableWinning / Losing at HT

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 10 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Inter1025.92.5910.51.052613+0.1
2AS Roma1023.42.3413.91.392810+4.6
3Como1019.81.9812.31.23188-1.8
4Frosinone1018.41.8420.32.032414+5.6
5Napoli1017.11.7110.71.071713-0.1
6AC Milan1016.41.6512.81.292112+4.6
7Lazio1016.41.6412.71.27248+7.6
8Fiorentina1016.21.6215.51.551523-1.2
9Monza1015.81.5814.21.421724+1.2
10Atalanta1015.31.5318.71.871620+0.7
11Bologna1013.81.3813.91.391413+0.2
12Venezia1013.71.3721.02.10620-7.7
13Juventus1013.61.366.20.621310-0.6
14Lecce1013.61.3621.22.121121-2.6
15Sassuolo1013.41.3417.11.711626+2.6
16Cagliari1013.21.3218.41.84915-4.2
17Udinese1012.81.2822.52.251123-1.8
18Torino1012.31.2314.31.431416+1.8
19Genoa109.10.9113.71.371014+0.9
20Parma108.00.8018.21.828150
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
InterHigh xGF2.59
AS RomaHigh xGF2.34
ComoHigh xGF1.98
ParmaLow xGF0.80
GenoaLow xGF0.91
TorinoLow xGF1.23

LEAGUE xG STATS

20 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.54
League avg xGA/g: 1.54
Best overperformer: Lazio (+7.6)
Biggest underperformer: Venezia (-7.7)

Serie A (Italy) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Serie A (Italy) averages 1.54 xG per game this season. Inter creates the most chances with 2.59 xGF per game, while Parma creates the fewest with 0.80 xGF per game. Lazio is over-performing their xG (24 goals vs 16.4 xGF) — regression likely. Venezia is under-performing (6 goals vs 13.7 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Italy