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Eliteserien

Eliteserien — xG (Expected Goals)

Norway · 2026

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 25 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Bodo/Glimt2559.52.3824.00.966123+1.5
2Molde2552.52.1031.61.265939+6.5
3Viking2550.02.0027.91.126426+14
4Rosenborg2543.31.7336.41.464931+5.8
5Sarpsborg 08 FF2542.81.7135.61.433239-10.8
6Tromso2542.61.7033.91.364338+0.4
7Brann2541.21.6542.91.724542+3.8
8Valerenga2539.01.5643.31.734346+4
9Lillestrom2538.11.5335.81.433633-2.1
10Aalesund2536.51.4652.82.114357+6.5
11Start2534.51.3845.51.822655-8.5
12Sandefjord2530.61.2239.31.572634-4.6
13Fredrikstad2530.11.2043.71.752944-1.1
14Ham-Kam2530.01.2044.71.793553+5
15Kristiansund BK2529.51.1848.51.942951-0.5
16KFUM Oslo2528.71.1543.01.723241+3.3
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Bodo/GlimtHigh xGF2.38
MoldeHigh xGF2.10
VikingHigh xGF2.00
KFUM OsloLow xGF1.15
Kristiansund BKLow xGF1.18
Ham-KamLow xGF1.20

LEAGUE xG STATS

16 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.57
League avg xGA/g: 1.57
Best overperformer: Viking (+14.0)
Biggest underperformer: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-10.8)

Eliteserien (Norway) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Eliteserien (Norway) averages 1.57 xG per game this season. Bodo/Glimt creates the most chances with 2.38 xGF per game, while KFUM Oslo creates the fewest with 1.15 xGF per game. Viking is over-performing their xG (64 goals vs 50.0 xGF) — regression likely. Sarpsborg 08 FF is under-performing (32 goals vs 42.8 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Norway