Quindio vs Real Cartagena — Primera B
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Estadio Centenario·Armenia·Colombia·20,729
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Quindio and Real Cartagena meet in the Primera B 2026 season on 11 November 2026. Quindio have recorded 20 wins from 40 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Real Cartagena have won 39% of their 41 matches, with 1.51 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 49%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.03 for Quindio and 0.84 for Real Cartagena. The models give Quindio a 43% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Real Cartagena win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 29% and BTTS at 37%.
Season Statistics
Quindio—
Real Cartagena4º
Position
5º
2.07
PPG
1.59
60%
Win %
41%
1.33
Goals / game
1.53
0.67
Conceded / game
1.12
43%
BTTS %
61%
50%
Clean sheet %
29%
35%
Over 2.5 %
49%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Quindio
Home (7)
—
Real Cartagena
Away (8)
1.71
PPG
1.38
43%
Win %
25%
1.29
Goals / game
0.75
0.71
Conceded / game
0.63
43%
BTTS %
62%
48%
Clean sheet %
29%
33%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Quindio | Home | Away | Real Cartagena | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 76% | 79% | 80% | 85% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 33% | 26% | 41% | 70% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 5% | 0% | 12% | 20% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 24% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 24% |
Goals Conceded
| Quindio | Home | Away | Real Cartagena | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 52% | 47% | 71% | 70% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 14% | 21% | 27% | 35% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 11% | 15% | 25% | 5% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 48% | 53% | 29% | 30% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Quindio | Real Cartagena | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 55% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 15% |
| BTTS | 43% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Quindio | Real Cartagena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 34% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 51% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 48% | 51% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 51% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Quindio (H)W
Real Cundinamarca2–0
Real Cundinamarca2–0W
Tigres FC2–0
Tigres FC2–0DReal Cartagena1–1
Real Cartagena1–1W
Bogota FC1–0
Bogota FC1–0L
Patriotas1–2
Patriotas1–2D
Real Santander0–0
Real Santander0–0Real Cartagena (A)DTigres FC0–0
Tigres FC0–0D
Barranquilla1–1
Barranquilla1–1DQuindio1–1
Quindio1–1D
Depor FC2–2
Depor FC2–2D
Union Magdalena1–1
Union Magdalena1–1L
Internacional Palmira1–2
Internacional Palmira1–2Head to Head · 26 matches
9
Quindio
35%
8
Draws
31%
9
Real Cartagena
35%
88%
Over 1.5
23/26
58%
Over 2.5
15/26
38%
Over 3.5
10/26
62%
BTTS
16/26
16/10/26Real Cartagena
Quindio
1–1Real Cartagena01/04/26Quindio
Real Cartagena
2–1Quindio27/10/25Real Cartagena
Quindio
0–0Real Cartagena18/05/25Quindio
Real Cartagena
4–1Quindio13/11/24Real Cartagena
Quindio
2–1Real Cartagena09/11/24Quindio
Real Cartagena
3–0Quindio03/09/24Quindio
Real Cartagena
2–0Quindio20/03/24Real Cartagena
Quindio
1–0Real Cartagena23/09/23Quindio
Real Cartagena
2–0Quindio03/06/23Real Cartagena
Quindio
2–2Real Cartagena25/05/23Quindio
Real Cartagena
1–1Quindio19/04/23Real Cartagena
Quindio
2–0Real Cartagena19/09/22Quindio
Real Cartagena
3–1Quindio12/04/22Real Cartagena
Quindio
5–0Real Cartagena19/02/21Quindio
Real Cartagena
2–3Quindio13/03/20Real Cartagena
Quindio
5–1Real Cartagena20/08/19Real Cartagena
Quindio
2–0Real Cartagena24/02/19Quindio
Real Cartagena
2–1Quindio19/08/18Real Cartagena
Quindio
1–2Real Cartagena19/03/18Quindio
Real Cartagena
3–3Quindio| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Envigado | 40 | 18 | 14 | 8 | +20 | 68 |
| 2 | Quindio | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | +14 | 67 |
| 3 | Union Magdalena | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | +16 | 63 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | +17 | 62 |
| 5 | Internacional Palmira | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | +10 | 61 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | +4 | 50 |
| 7 |  Ind. Yumbo | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | -4 | 40 |
| 11 |  Popayan | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Patriotas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 |  Orsomarso | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -17 | 27 |
| 16 |  Leones FC | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -26 | 24 |
Team Insights
Quindio- ●Quindio have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Quindio have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Quindio have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Quindio have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Quindio have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Quindio have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Quindio have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Quindio have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 19 home matches.
- ●Quindio have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Quindio have won 10 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Quindio have scored in 14 of their 18 away matches.
Real Cartagena- ●Real Cartagena have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Cartagena have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Real Cartagena failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 19 home matches.
- ●Real Cartagena failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 20 away matches.
- ●Real Cartagena have scored in 15 of their 20 away matches.
- ●63% of Real Cartagena's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Real Cartagena have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
QuindioWHReal Cundinamarca2–0
Real Cundinamarca2–0WHTigres FC2–0
Tigres FC2–0WADepor FC1–0
Depor FC1–0DHReal Cartagena1–1
Real Cartagena1–1LABarranquilla1–4
Barranquilla1–4WAOrsomarso1–0
Orsomarso1–0–ATigres FC07/11
Tigres FC07/11–HReal Cartagena11/11
Real Cartagena11/11–AReal Cundinamarca15/11
Real Cundinamarca15/11Real CartagenaDATigres FC0–0
Tigres FC0–0DABarranquilla1–1
Barranquilla1–1WHPatriotas3–0
Patriotas3–0DAQuindio1–1
Quindio1–1DADepor FC2–2
Depor FC2–2LHPopayan2–3
Popayan2–3–HReal Cundinamarca07/11
Real Cundinamarca07/11–AQuindio11/11
Quindio11/11–HTigres FC15/11
Tigres FC15/11Top Scorers
QuindioJ. Lloreda15 ⚽
A. F. Carabali R.7 ⚽
5 ⚽
A. Alvarez3 ⚽
J. Ibarguen3 ⚽
J. Rodriguez3 ⚽
Real CartagenaF. Montero25 ⚽
M. Manotas14 ⚽
J. Aleman5 ⚽
C. Graciano3 ⚽
E. Lopez3 ⚽
A. Melendez2 ⚽
Cards Given
Quindio11 🟨
A. F. Carabali R.8 🟨
J. Lloreda7 🟨
S. Roa6 🟨
L. Rodrigo Moran6 🟨
J. Sandoval5 🟨
Real Cartagena39 🟨
D. Pino9 🟨
A. Escobar9 🟨
F. Montero6 🟨
L. Guevara5 🟨
J. Rodriguez4 🟨