RB Leipzig vs Manchester City — UEFA Champions League
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RB Leipzig and Manchester City meet in the UEFA Champions League 2026 season on 4 November 2026. RB Leipzig have recorded 11 wins from 19 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 2.21 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Manchester City have won 67% of their 18 matches, with 2.39 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.43 for RB Leipzig and 1.58 for Manchester City. The models give RB Leipzig a 51% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Manchester City win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
RB Leipzig—
Manchester City30º
Position
10º
1.00
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
1.00
Goals / game
3.00
2.67
Conceded / game
1.67
42%
BTTS %
61%
47%
Clean sheet %
28%
74%
Over 2.5 %
72%
5.8
Avg corners
5.8
17.0
Avg shots
16.1
6.5
Avg shots on target
6.0
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.4
10.7
Avg fouls
10.3
53.4%
Avg possession
62.5%
Home vs Away
RB Leipzig
Home (1)
—
Manchester City
Away (1)
3.00
PPG
3.00
100%
Win %
100%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
0.00
Conceded / game
0.00
0%
BTTS %
43%
100%
Clean sheet %
43%
71%
Over 2.5 %
71%
5.8
Avg corners
5.8
17.0
Avg shots
16.1
6.5
Avg shots on target
6.0
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.4
53.4%
Avg possession
62.5%
Goals Scored
| RB Leipzig | Home | Away | Manchester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 83% | 89% | 91% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 71% | 33% | 67% | 73% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 71% | 8% | 44% | 45% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| RB Leipzig | Home | Away | Manchester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 0% | 83% | 72% | 82% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 0% | 67% | 33% | 36% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 32% | 0% | 50% | 17% | 18% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 100% | 17% | 28% | 18% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| RB Leipzig | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 | 58% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 33% |
| BTTS | 42% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 39% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 32% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| RB Leipzig | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 16% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 5% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 6% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 79% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
RB Leipzig (H)W
SV Elversberg4–0
SV Elversberg4–0W
PSV Eindhoven1–0
PSV Eindhoven1–0W
Eintracht Frankfurt6–0
Eintracht Frankfurt6–0W
Hamburger SV5–0
Hamburger SV5–0W
Borussia Mönchengladbach3–0
Borussia Mönchengladbach3–0W
Verl4–0
Verl4–0Manchester City (A)L
Aston Villa1–2
Aston Villa1–2W
Liverpool3–0
Liverpool3–0W
Manchester United1–0
Manchester United1–0W
FC Porto2–0
FC Porto2–0W
Crystal Palace4–1
Crystal Palace4–1L
Arsenal0–3
Arsenal0–3Number of Corners
11.7
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.6
98 games
9.4
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | RB Leipzig | Manchester City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 80% | 73% |
| Over 7 | 92% | 73% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 85% | 67% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 69% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 54% | 47% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 54% | 13% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 46% | 13% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 31% | 0% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | RB Leipzig | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.9 | 3.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 77% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 69% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 77% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 69% | 33% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
1
RB Leipzig
17%
1
Draws
17%
4
Manchester City
67%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
83%
Over 2.5
5/6
67%
Over 3.5
4/6
83%
BTTS
5/6
28/11/23RB Leipzig
Manchester City
3–2RB Leipzig04/10/23Manchester City
RB Leipzig
1–3Manchester City14/03/23RB Leipzig
Manchester City
7–0RB Leipzig22/02/23Manchester City
RB Leipzig
1–1Manchester City07/12/21Manchester City
RB Leipzig
2–1Manchester City15/09/21RB Leipzig
Manchester City
6–3RB Leipzig| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 |
Team Insights
RB Leipzig- ●RB Leipzig have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●100% of RB Leipzig's goals conceded were conceded away.
Manchester City- ●Manchester City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●78% of Manchester City's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
RB LeipzigLAReal Madrid1–4
Real Madrid1–4WHPSV Eindhoven1–0
PSV Eindhoven1–0LAComo1–4
Como1–4–HManchester City04/11
Manchester City04/11–HLens24/11
Lens24/11–AManchester United08/12
Manchester United08/12Manchester CityWHAEK Athens FC5–1
AEK Athens FC5–1LHParis Saint Germain2–4
Paris Saint Germain2–4WAFC Porto2–0
FC Porto2–0–ARB Leipzig04/11
RB Leipzig04/11–HNapoli24/11
Napoli24/11–ABarcelona08/12
Barcelona08/12Top Scorers
RB LeipzigTidiam Gomis4 ⚽
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz4 ⚽
Christopher Nkunku4 ⚽
R. Baku3 ⚽
Antonio Nusa3 ⚽
Christoph Baumgartner3 ⚽
Manchester CityErling Haaland11 ⚽
Rayan Cherki5 ⚽
Phil Foden5 ⚽
Enzo Fernández2 ⚽
E. Haaland2 ⚽
D. Mubama2 ⚽
Cards Given
RB LeipzigNeil El Aynaoui3 🟨
Rocco Reitz2 🟨
Antonio Nusa2 🟨
Nicolas Seiwald2 🟨
Christopher Nkunku1 🟨
Benjamin Henrichs1 🟨
Manchester CityJosko Gvardiol4 🟨
P. Foden2 🟨
Ayyoub Bouaddi2 🟨
J. Gvardiol2 🟨
Elliot Anderson1 🟨
Antoine Semenyo1 🟨