Manchester City vs Napoli — UEFA Champions League
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Manchester City and Napoli meet in the UEFA Champions League 2026 season on 24 November 2026. Manchester City have recorded 12 wins from 18 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.39 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 72%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Napoli have won 44% of their 18 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.66 for Manchester City and 1.57 for Napoli. The models give Manchester City a 59% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Napoli win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 79% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Manchester City—
Napoli10º
Position
22º
2.00
PPG
1.00
67%
Win %
33%
3.00
Goals / game
1.67
1.67
Conceded / game
2.33
61%
BTTS %
61%
28%
Clean sheet %
22%
72%
Over 2.5 %
56%
5.8
Avg corners
4.4
16.1
Avg shots
13.8
6.0
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.2
10.3
Avg fouls
9.1
62.5%
Avg possession
50.3%
Home vs Away
Manchester City
Home (2)
—
Napoli
Away (1)
1.50
PPG
0.00
50%
Win %
0%
3.50
Goals / game
1.00
2.50
Conceded / game
3.00
73%
BTTS %
57%
18%
Clean sheet %
14%
73%
Over 2.5 %
43%
5.8
Avg corners
4.4
16.1
Avg shots
13.8
6.0
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.2
62.5%
Avg possession
50.3%
Goals Scored
| Manchester City | Home | Away | Napoli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 91% | 86% | 83% | 91% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 73% | 57% | 50% | 55% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 44% | 45% | 43% | 28% | 36% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 9% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Manchester City | Home | Away | Napoli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 82% | 57% | 78% | 73% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 36% | 29% | 44% | 45% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 18% | 14% | 28% | 27% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 18% | 43% | 22% | 27% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Manchester City | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 28% |
| BTTS | 61% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 39% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Manchester City | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 6% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 72% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Manchester City (H)L
Brighton0–1
Brighton0–1DBrighton2–2
Brighton2–2W
AEK Athens FC5–1
AEK Athens FC5–1W
Ipswich3–2
Ipswich3–2L
Paris Saint Germain2–4
Paris Saint Germain2–4W
Sunderland5–3
Sunderland5–3Napoli (A)L
Juventus0–2
Juventus0–2W
Monza4–1
Monza4–1L
Venezia0–1
Venezia0–1L
Villarreal1–3
Villarreal1–3D
Fiorentina1–1
Fiorentina1–1L
Inter2–3
Inter2–3Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
9.6
98 games
9.8
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Manchester City | Napoli | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 85% | 73% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 69% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 62% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 46% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 47% | 31% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 31% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 23% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 15% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Manchester City | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.6 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 87% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 80% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 40% | 77% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 46% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
3
Manchester City
60%
1
Draws
20%
1
Napoli
20%
100%
Over 1.5
5/5
60%
Over 2.5
3/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
80%
BTTS
4/5
18/09/25Napoli
Manchester City
2–0Napoli01/11/17Manchester City
Napoli
2–4Manchester City17/10/17Napoli
Manchester City
2–1Napoli22/11/11Manchester City
Napoli
2–1Manchester City14/09/11Napoli
Manchester City
1–1Napoli| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 |
Team Insights
Manchester City- ●Manchester City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●78% of Manchester City's goals have been scored at home.
Napoli—
Season Schedule
Manchester CityWHAEK Athens FC5–1
AEK Athens FC5–1LHParis Saint Germain2–4
Paris Saint Germain2–4WAFC Porto2–0
FC Porto2–0–ARB Leipzig04/11
RB Leipzig04/11–HNapoli24/11
Napoli24/11–ABarcelona08/12
Barcelona08/12NapoliWHBodo/Glimt4–3
Bodo/Glimt4–3LAVillarreal1–3
Villarreal1–3LHArsenal0–1
Arsenal0–1–AFC Porto04/11
FC Porto04/11–AManchester City24/11
Manchester City24/11–HClub Brugge KV08/12
Club Brugge KV08/12Top Scorers
Manchester CityErling Haaland11 ⚽
Rayan Cherki5 ⚽
Phil Foden5 ⚽
Enzo Fernández2 ⚽
E. Haaland2 ⚽
D. Mubama2 ⚽
NapoliScott McTominay4 ⚽
Matteo Politano3 ⚽
K. De Bruyne3 ⚽
Kevin De Bruyne3 ⚽
L. Lucca3 ⚽
M. Politano2 ⚽
Cards Given
Manchester CityJosko Gvardiol4 🟨
P. Foden2 🟨
Ayyoub Bouaddi2 🟨
J. Gvardiol2 🟨
Elliot Anderson1 🟨
Antoine Semenyo1 🟨
NapoliRafael Marin Zamora3 🟨
Luca Marianucci2 🟨
G. Di Lorenzo2 🟨
Giovanni Di Lorenzo2 🟨
Frank Anguissa1 🟨
Benoît Badiashile1 🟨