Lille vs Bayern München — UEFA Champions League
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Lille and Bayern München meet in the UEFA Champions League 2026 season on 25 November 2026. Lille have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.72 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Bayern München have won 70% of their 20 matches, with 3.30 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 95%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.13 for Lille and 2.33 for Bayern München. The models give Lille a 32% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Bayern München win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 81% and BTTS at 76%.
Season Statistics
Lille—
Bayern München35º
Position
14º
0.00
PPG
1.67
0%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
3.33
3.33
Conceded / game
1.67
61%
BTTS %
80%
33%
Clean sheet %
20%
56%
Over 2.5 %
95%
3.5
Avg corners
8.1
10.8
Avg shots
21.9
4.5
Avg shots on target
8.9
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.1
10.9
Avg fouls
9.7
49.5%
Avg possession
63.9%
Home vs Away
Lille
Home (2)
—
Bayern München
Away (1)
0.00
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
3.00
3.50
Conceded / game
3.00
56%
BTTS %
82%
44%
Clean sheet %
18%
56%
Over 2.5 %
91%
3.5
Avg corners
8.1
10.8
Avg shots
21.9
4.5
Avg shots on target
8.9
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.1
49.5%
Avg possession
63.9%
Goals Scored
| Lille | Home | Away | Bayern München | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 80% | 95% | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 67% | 30% | 90% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 11% | 10% | 52% | 67% | 42% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 20% | 5% | 0% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Lille | Home | Away | Bayern München | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 56% | 70% | 76% | 78% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 33% | 50% | 29% | 22% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 44% | 30% | 24% | 22% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lille | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 43% |
| BTTS | 58% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 52% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 76% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lille | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 62% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 19% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Lille (H)W
Lens1–0
Lens1–0L
Galatasaray2–4
Galatasaray2–4D
Stade Brestois 291–1
Stade Brestois 291–1W
Le Havre1–0
Le Havre1–0W
Zulte Waregem2–1
Zulte Waregem2–1W
Estac Troyes2–0
Estac Troyes2–0Bayern München (A)W
Atletico Madrid2–0
Atletico Madrid2–0W
SC Freiburg3–1
SC Freiburg3–1D
Viking3–3
Viking3–3D
FC Augsburg2–2
FC Augsburg2–2W
SV Elversberg2–1
SV Elversberg2–1D
FC Schalke 040–0
FC Schalke 040–0Number of Corners
8.3
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.6
98 games
11.1
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Lille | Bayern München | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 93% | 73% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 86% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 42% | 71% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 64% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 17% | 64% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 8% | 43% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 21% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 21% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lille | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 8.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 58% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 42% | 93% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 36% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Lille
0%
0
Draws
0%
2
Bayern München
100%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
07/11/12Lille
Bayern München
6–1Lille23/10/12Bayern München
Lille
0–1Bayern München| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 |
Team Insights
Lille- ●Lille have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●70% of Lille's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Bayern München- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Bayern München have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
Season Schedule
LilleDABodo/Glimt0–0
Bodo/Glimt0–0LHGalatasaray2–4
Galatasaray2–4LAArsenal0–3
Arsenal0–3LHReal Betis2–3
Real Betis2–3–HBayern München25/11
Bayern München25/11–AVfB Stuttgart09/12
VfB Stuttgart09/12–HSlovan Bratislava19/01
Slovan Bratislava19/01Bayern MünchenWAAtletico Madrid2–0
Atletico Madrid2–0DHArsenal2–2
Arsenal2–2DAViking3–3
Viking3–3WHBodo/Glimt5–0
Bodo/Glimt5–0–ALille25/11
Lille25/11–HSlavia Praha08/12
Slavia Praha08/12–AManchester United20/01
Manchester United20/01Top Scorers
LilleO. Giroud3 ⚽
Ayase Ueda3 ⚽
E. Mbappe2 ⚽
Ethan Mbappe2 ⚽
H. Haraldsson2 ⚽
Olivier Giroud2 ⚽
Bayern MünchenMichael Olise10 ⚽
Harry Kane10 ⚽
L. Diaz4 ⚽
Luis Díaz4 ⚽
Ismael Saibari3 ⚽
F. Chavez3 ⚽
Cards Given
LilleMaxima Goffi3 🟨
R. Perraud2 🟨
Maurits Kjaergaard2 🟨
Olivier Giroud2 🟨
Calvin Verdonk1 🟨
B. Onal1 🟨
Bayern MünchenKonrad Laimer3 🟨
Michael Olise2 🟨
Dayot Upamecano2 🟨
Josip Stanišić2 🟨
Aleksandar Pavlović2 🟨
Joshua Kimmich1 🟨