Galatasaray vs Aston Villa — UEFA Champions League
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Galatasaray and Aston Villa meet in the UEFA Champions League 2026 season on 24 November 2026. Galatasaray have recorded 11 wins from 20 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 2.15 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Aston Villa have won 43% of their 23 matches, with 1.87 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 83%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.22 for Galatasaray and 1.73 for Aston Villa. The models give Galatasaray a 46% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Aston Villa win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Galatasaray—
Aston Villa18º
Position
3º
1.50
PPG
2.25
50%
Win %
75%
2.00
Goals / game
3.00
2.25
Conceded / game
1.50
60%
BTTS %
70%
25%
Clean sheet %
17%
80%
Over 2.5 %
83%
6.6
Avg corners
4.8
18.4
Avg shots
14.3
6.5
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.1
11.6
Avg fouls
11.4
55.9%
Avg possession
45.8%
Home vs Away
Galatasaray
Home (2)
—
Aston Villa
Away (2)
1.50
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.50
2.00
Conceded / game
2.50
64%
BTTS %
64%
18%
Clean sheet %
21%
73%
Over 2.5 %
86%
6.6
Avg corners
4.8
18.4
Avg shots
14.3
6.5
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.1
55.9%
Avg possession
45.8%
Goals Scored
| Galatasaray | Home | Away | Aston Villa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 82% | 89% | 79% | 89% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 55% | 67% | 46% | 56% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 45% | 27% | 67% | 33% | 22% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 18% | 11% | 21% | 11% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Galatasaray | Home | Away | Aston Villa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 82% | 67% | 83% | 89% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 64% | 56% | 54% | 44% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 27% | 33% | 17% | 11% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 18% | 33% | 17% | 11% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Galatasaray | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 | 65% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 35% | 21% |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Galatasaray | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 65% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Galatasaray (H)W
VfB Stuttgart2–0
VfB Stuttgart2–0W
Fenerbahçe2–1
Fenerbahçe2–1L
Barcelona1–4
Barcelona1–4W
Kasımpaşa3–1
Kasımpaşa3–1W
Kocaelispor1–0
Kocaelispor1–0W
Göztepe3–2
Göztepe3–2Aston Villa (A)LBarcelona0–3
Barcelona0–3L
Bournemouth0–3
Bournemouth0–3W
Newcastle1–0
Newcastle1–0W
Sevilla3–1
Sevilla3–1W
Tottenham3–2
Tottenham3–2W
Coventry3–1
Coventry3–1Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
9.5
107 games
9.3
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Galatasaray | Aston Villa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 81% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 63% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 56% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 44% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 44% | 35% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 31% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 19% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 21% | 19% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Galatasaray | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.6 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.3 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 79% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 71% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 57% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 36% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 21% | 44% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 9 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 6 |  Sporting CP | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 7 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Bayern München | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 8 |
| 9 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 14 |  Inter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Lask Linz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 16 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 | Galatasaray | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |  AS Roma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 20 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 21 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |  Atletico Madrid | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |  Bodo/Glimt | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 24 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 26 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 |  Villarreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |  Feyenoord | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lille | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 35 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -16 | 0 |
Team Insights
Galatasaray- ●Galatasaray have won their last 2 matches.
- ●62% of Galatasaray's goals have been scored away.
Aston Villa- ●Aston Villa have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●75% of Aston Villa's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
GalatasarayWHVfB Stuttgart2–0
VfB Stuttgart2–0WALille4–2
Lille4–2LHBarcelona1–4
Barcelona1–4LASporting CP1–3
Sporting CP1–3–HAston Villa24/11
Aston Villa24/11–AAEK Athens FC08/12
AEK Athens FC08/12–HFeyenoord19/01
Feyenoord19/01Aston VillaLABarcelona0–3
Barcelona0–3WHViking3–1
Viking3–1WHFenerbahçe6–0
Fenerbahçe6–0WAClub Brugge KV3–2
Club Brugge KV3–2–AGalatasaray24/11
Galatasaray24/11–HParis Saint Germain08/12
Paris Saint Germain08/12–HBorussia Dortmund19/01
Borussia Dortmund19/01Top Scorers
GalatasarayV. Osimhen10 ⚽
Aleksey Batrakov4 ⚽
A. Tagay2 ⚽
B. Yilmaz2 ⚽
A. Bardakci2 ⚽
Gabriel Sara2 ⚽
Aston VillaNicolas Jackson8 ⚽
B. Madjo4 ⚽
Ross Barkley4 ⚽
Johan Manzambi3 ⚽
Emiliano Buendía3 ⚽
Tammy Abraham3 ⚽
Cards Given
GalatasarayO. Buruk6 🟨
Roland Sallai3 🟨
Okan Buruk2 🟨
D. Sanchez2 🟨
B. Yilmaz2 🟨
Ismail Jakobs2 🟨
Aston VillaEmiliano Buendía5 🟨
Alysson4 🟨
Matty Cash4 🟨
4 🟨
Ian Maatsen3 🟨
J. McGinn3 🟨