Barcelona vs Aston Villa — UEFA Champions League
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3 – 0
HT 1–0
90′
Camp Nou·Barcelona·International·55,926
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Barcelona and Aston Villa meet in the UEFA Champions League 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Barcelona have recorded 16 wins from 20 matches this season (80% win rate), averaging 3.55 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 85%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Aston Villa have won 43% of their 23 matches, with 1.87 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 83%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.90 for Barcelona and 1.75 for Aston Villa. The models give Barcelona a 58% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Aston Villa win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 82% and BTTS at 77%.
Season Statistics
Barcelona—
Aston Villa8º
Position
2º
2.00
PPG
3.00
67%
Win %
100%
3.67
Goals / game
4.00
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
70%
BTTS %
70%
25%
Clean sheet %
17%
85%
Over 2.5 %
83%
6.4
Avg corners
4.5
20.4
Avg shots
14.6
8.1
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
10.4
Avg fouls
11.6
69.2%
Avg possession
46.5%
Home vs Away
Barcelona
Home (1)
—
Aston Villa
Away (1)
3.00
PPG
3.00
100%
Win %
100%
5.00
Goals / game
3.00
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
70%
BTTS %
64%
30%
Clean sheet %
21%
80%
Over 2.5 %
86%
6.4
Avg corners
4.5
20.4
Avg shots
14.6
8.1
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
69.2%
Avg possession
46.5%
Goals Scored
| Barcelona | Home | Away | Aston Villa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 95% | 100% | 90% | 83% | 89% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 85% | 80% | 90% | 48% | 56% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 65% | 60% | 70% | 35% | 22% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 5% | 0% | 10% | 17% | 11% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Barcelona | Home | Away | Aston Villa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 70% | 80% | 83% | 89% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 30% | 50% | 52% | 44% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 30% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Barcelona | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 85% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 | 70% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 60% | 22% |
| BTTS | 70% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 55% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 70% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Barcelona | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 65% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 85% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 65% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 85% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 75% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Barcelona (H)W
Alaves6–1
Alaves6–1L
Real Madrid1–2
Real Madrid1–2W
Getafe3–0
Getafe3–0W
Racing Santander7–2
Racing Santander7–2W
Feyenoord5–1
Feyenoord5–1W
Rayo Vallecano5–2
Rayo Vallecano5–2Aston Villa (A)L
Bournemouth0–3
Bournemouth0–3W
Newcastle1–0
Newcastle1–0W
Sevilla3–1
Sevilla3–1W
Tottenham3–2
Tottenham3–2W
Coventry3–1
Coventry3–1W
Club Brugge KV3–2
Club Brugge KV3–2Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
9.6
98 games
9.1
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Barcelona | Aston Villa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 64% | 80% | 73% |
| Over 7 | 43% | 60% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 36% | 53% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 36% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 40% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 27% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 20% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 21% | 20% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Barcelona | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.4 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.4 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 79% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 43% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 21% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 14% | 47% |
Events
7'⚽Lamine Yamal
11'🟨Ian Maatsen
31'🟨Emiliano Buendía
45'🟨Nicolas Jackson
45'🟨Raphael Dias Belloli
45'🔄Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante(Marc Bernal)
52'⚽Raphael Dias Belloli(Fermín López)
62'🔄Emiliano Buendía(Ibrahim Mbaye)
62'🔄Johan Manzambi(Leon Goretzka)
62'🔄João Gomes(Ross Barkley)
64'⚽Raphael Dias Belloli(João Cancelo)
70'🔄Pedri(Frenkie de Jong)
70'🔄Fermín López(Pablo Martín Páez Gavira)
70'🔄Raphael Dias Belloli(Gabriel Jesus)
77'🔄Nicolas Jackson(Tammy Abraham)
77'🔄John McGinn( Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha)
82'🔄Brian Farinas(Alejandro Balde)
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 |
Team Insights
Barcelona- ●Barcelona have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
Aston Villa- ●Aston Villa have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Aston Villa have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Aston Villa have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●75% of Aston Villa's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
BarcelonaLAParis Saint Germain2–4
Paris Saint Germain2–4WAGalatasaray4–1
Galatasaray4–1WHFeyenoord5–1
Feyenoord5–1–ASabah FA25/11
Sabah FA25/11–HManchester City08/12
Manchester City08/12–ASporting CP20/01
Sporting CP20/01Aston VillaWHViking3–1
Viking3–1WHFenerbahçe6–0
Fenerbahçe6–0WAClub Brugge KV3–2
Club Brugge KV3–2–AGalatasaray24/11
Galatasaray24/11–HParis Saint Germain08/12
Paris Saint Germain08/12–HBorussia Dortmund19/01
Borussia Dortmund19/01Top Scorers
BarcelonaLamine Yamal14 ⚽
Raphael Dias Belloli11 ⚽
Raphinha10 ⚽
H. Abdelkarim4 ⚽
Gabriel Jesus4 ⚽
Fermín López3 ⚽
Aston VillaNicolas Jackson8 ⚽
B. Madjo4 ⚽
Ross Barkley4 ⚽
Johan Manzambi3 ⚽
Emiliano Buendía3 ⚽
Tammy Abraham3 ⚽
Cards Given
BarcelonaJoão Cancelo3 🟨
Fermín López3 🟨
Daniel Olmo Carvajal2 🟨
Lamine Yamal2 🟨
H. Abdelkarim1 🟨
Gerard Martín1 🟨
Aston VillaEmiliano Buendía5 🟨
Alysson4 🟨
Matty Cash4 🟨
4 🟨
Ian Maatsen3 🟨
J. McGinn3 🟨