Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München — UEFA Champions League
← Back
0 – 0
HT 0–0
47′
Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano·Madrid·International·70,460
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
From€8.99/Mo
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
Atletico Madrid and Bayern München meet in the UEFA Champions League 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Atletico Madrid have recorded 12 wins from 18 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Bayern München have won 70% of their 20 matches, with 3.30 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 95%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.43 for Atletico Madrid and 2.01 for Bayern München. The models give Atletico Madrid a 43% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Bayern München win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 79% and BTTS at 76%.
Season Statistics
Atletico Madrid—
Bayern München16º
Position
14º
1.33
PPG
1.67
33%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
3.33
1.00
Conceded / game
1.67
56%
BTTS %
80%
39%
Clean sheet %
20%
67%
Over 2.5 %
95%
5.3
Avg corners
8.1
15.7
Avg shots
21.9
5.6
Avg shots on target
8.9
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.1
11.1
Avg fouls
9.7
57.7%
Avg possession
63.9%
Home vs Away
Atletico Madrid
Home (1)
—
Bayern München
Away (1)
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
3.00
0.00
Conceded / game
3.00
43%
BTTS %
82%
57%
Clean sheet %
18%
57%
Over 2.5 %
91%
5.3
Avg corners
8.1
15.7
Avg shots
21.9
5.6
Avg shots on target
8.9
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.1
57.7%
Avg possession
63.9%
Goals Scored
| Atletico Madrid | Home | Away | Bayern München | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 91% | 95% | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 61% | 86% | 45% | 90% | 100% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 29% | 18% | 55% | 67% | 45% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 0% | 9% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
Goals Conceded
| Atletico Madrid | Home | Away | Bayern München | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 43% | 73% | 80% | 78% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 14% | 36% | 30% | 22% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 18% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 57% | 27% | 20% | 22% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atletico Madrid | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 95% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 45% |
| BTTS | 56% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 55% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 80% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atletico Madrid | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 65% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 15% |
| Loss 1st Half | 6% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 67% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 6% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 72% | 85% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Atletico Madrid (H)W
Deportivo La Coruna1–0
Deportivo La Coruna1–0W
Manchester United2–0
Manchester United2–0W
Real Madrid2–1
Real Madrid2–1W
Osasuna4–0
Osasuna4–0D
Villarreal2–2
Villarreal2–2W
Malaga2–0
Malaga2–0Bayern München (A)W
SC Freiburg3–1
SC Freiburg3–1D
Viking3–3
Viking3–3D
FC Augsburg2–2
FC Augsburg2–2W
SV Elversberg2–1
SV Elversberg2–1D
FC Schalke 040–0
FC Schalke 040–0W
VfL Osnabrück4–1
VfL Osnabrück4–1Number of Corners
9.2
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
9.6
98 games
11.1
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Atletico Madrid | Bayern München | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 93% | 73% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 86% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 43% | 71% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 64% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 64% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 43% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 21% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 21% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atletico Madrid | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 8.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 93% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 57% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 36% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
2
Atletico Madrid
33%
1
Draws
17%
3
Bayern München
50%
50%
Over 1.5
3/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
33%
BTTS
2/6
01/12/20Bayern München
Atletico Madrid
1–1Bayern München21/10/20Atletico Madrid
Bayern München
4–0Atletico Madrid06/12/16Atletico Madrid
Bayern München
1–0Atletico Madrid28/09/16Bayern München
Atletico Madrid
1–0Bayern München03/05/16Atletico Madrid
Bayern München
2–1Atletico Madrid27/04/16Bayern München
Atletico Madrid
1–0Bayern München| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 |
Team Insights
Atletico Madrid—
Bayern München- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Bayern München have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●70% of Bayern München's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Atletico MadridDAVfB Stuttgart1–1
VfB Stuttgart1–1WHManchester United2–0
Manchester United2–0LALiverpool1–2
Liverpool1–2–HViking25/11
Viking25/11–APSV Eindhoven09/12
PSV Eindhoven09/12–ABodo/Glimt19/01
Bodo/Glimt19/01Bayern MünchenDHArsenal2–2
Arsenal2–2DAViking3–3
Viking3–3WHBodo/Glimt5–0
Bodo/Glimt5–0–ALille25/11
Lille25/11–HSlavia Praha08/12
Slavia Praha08/12–AManchester United20/01
Manchester United20/01Top Scorers
Atletico MadridAlejandro Grimaldo4 ⚽
A. Baena3 ⚽
A. Lookman3 ⚽
Jonathan David3 ⚽
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez2 ⚽
A. Ortiz2 ⚽
Bayern MünchenMichael Olise10 ⚽
Harry Kane10 ⚽
L. Diaz4 ⚽
Luis Díaz4 ⚽
Ismael Saibari3 ⚽
F. Chavez3 ⚽
Cards Given
Atletico MadridMarc Pubill3 🟨
Diego Pablo Simeone3 🟨
Johnny Cardoso2 🟨
Cristian Romero2 🟨
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez2 🟨
Ademola Lookman2 🟨
Bayern MünchenKonrad Laimer3 🟨
Aleksandar Pavlović2 🟨
Dayot Upamecano2 🟨
Michael Olise2 🟨
Josip Stanišić1 🟨
Jonathan Tah1 🟨