Derby County U21 vs Blackburn Rovers U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Derby County U21 and Blackburn Rovers U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 1 March 2027. Derby County U21 have recorded 3 wins from 13 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 2.85 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 77% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 92%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Blackburn Rovers U21 have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 2.40 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 90%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.26 for Derby County U21 and 1.98 for Blackburn Rovers U21. The models give Derby County U21 a 48% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Blackburn Rovers U21 win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 79% and BTTS at 77%.
Season Statistics
Derby County U21—
Blackburn Rovers U2118º
Position
22º
1.17
PPG
1.50
33%
Win %
50%
2.67
Goals / game
2.00
2.67
Conceded / game
2.25
77%
BTTS %
80%
8%
Clean sheet %
10%
92%
Over 2.5 %
90%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Derby County U21
Home (3)
—
Blackburn Rovers U21
Away (2)
0.33
PPG
1.50
0%
Win %
50%
2.67
Goals / game
1.00
3.67
Conceded / game
2.00
80%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
25%
100%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Derby County | Home | Away | Blackburn Rovers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 80% | 89% | 90% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 40% | 78% | 70% | 100% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 40% | 33% | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 20% | 11% | 10% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Derby County | Home | Away | Blackburn Rovers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 100% | 89% | 90% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 100% | 56% | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 57% | 100% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 0% | 11% | 10% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Derby County | Blackburn Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 93% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 | 86% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 70% |
| BTTS | 79% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 79% | 80% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Derby County | Blackburn Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 56% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 78% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 78% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 86% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 71% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Derby County (H)L
Norwich City U213–4
Norwich City U213–4L
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3D
West Bromwich Albion U214–4
West Bromwich Albion U214–4L
Hull City U211–4
Hull City U211–4L
Carlisle0–3
Carlisle0–3W
Sunderland U212–1
Sunderland U212–1Blackburn Rovers (A)W
Crystal Palace U211–0
Crystal Palace U211–0L
Ipswich Town U211–4
Ipswich Town U211–4L
Southampton U210–4
Southampton U210–4L
Guiseley AFC2–3
Guiseley AFC2–3LSunderland U212–4
Sunderland U212–4W
Burnley U212–0
Burnley U212–0Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Derby County
33%
1
Draws
33%
1
Blackburn Rovers
33%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
10/11/25Derby County U21
Blackburn Rovers U21
1–4Derby County U2127/01/25Blackburn Rovers U21
Derby County U21
0–0Blackburn Rovers U2119/02/24Blackburn Rovers U21
Derby County U21
1–3Blackburn Rovers U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 3 |  Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 | Norwich City U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 |  Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 | Sunderland U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 |  AFC Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 9 |
| 12 |  Brentford U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Derby County U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 19 |  Leeds United U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 20 |  Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 21 | Ipswich Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn Rovers U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Stoke City U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |  Leicester City U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 25 |  Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6 | 4 |
| 26 | Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Newcastle United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Wolves U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 3 |
| 29 |  Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 30 |  Birmingham City U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11 | 2 |
| 31 | West Bromwich Albion U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Derby County- ●Derby County U21 have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●69% of Derby County U21's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●86% of Derby County U21's points have been earned away.
- ●Derby County U21 have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Blackburn Rovers- ●Blackburn Rovers U21 have won their last 2 matches.
- ●75% of Blackburn Rovers U21's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Derby CountyLHNorwich City U213–4
Norwich City U213–4WABirmingham City U214–0
Birmingham City U214–0LABurnley U211–4
Burnley U211–4LHTottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3DHWest Bromwich Albion U214–4
West Bromwich Albion U214–4WAReading U213–1
Reading U213–1–AMiddlesbrough U2109/11
Middlesbrough U2109/11–HIpswich Town U2130/11
Ipswich Town U2130/11–HFulham U2114/12
Fulham U2114/12Blackburn RoversWHWest Bromwich Albion U214–2
West Bromwich Albion U214–2WACrystal Palace U211–0
Crystal Palace U211–0LHReading U212–3
Reading U212–3LAIpswich Town U211–4
Ipswich Town U211–4–ASunderland U2106/11
Sunderland U2106/11–HArsenal U2130/11
Arsenal U2130/11–HNorwich City U2114/12
Norwich City U2114/12Top Scorers
Derby CountyJ. Oguntolu9 ⚽
M. Mintus4 ⚽
C. Smith3 ⚽
J. Davidson3 ⚽
C. Wilson3 ⚽
Z. Marsh2 ⚽
Blackburn RoversJ. Sergeant3 ⚽
H. Lister3 ⚽
H. Higgins3 ⚽
I. Dunn2 ⚽
D. De Neve1 ⚽
T. Goremusandu1 ⚽
Cards Given
Derby CountyI. Gordon4 🟨
C. Smith3 🟨
K. Robinson3 🟨
M. Tola3 🟨
R. Harvey2 🟨
F. Jones2 🟨
Blackburn RoversM. Decandia2 🟨
F. Taylor1 🟨
H. Higgins1 🟨
I. Dunn1 🟨
J. Edmondson1 🟨
L. Mullarkey-Matthews1 🟨