Derby County U21 vs Leeds United U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Derby County U21 and Leeds United U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 15 February 2027. Derby County U21 have recorded 3 wins from 14 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 2.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 79% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 93%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Leeds United U21 have won 33% of their 15 matches, with 1.93 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.38 for Derby County U21 and 2.24 for Leeds United U21. The models give Derby County U21 a 45% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Leeds United U21 win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 84% and BTTS at 81%.
Season Statistics
Derby County U21—
Leeds United U2118º
Position
19º
1.17
PPG
1.40
33%
Win %
40%
2.67
Goals / game
2.40
2.67
Conceded / game
2.60
79%
BTTS %
73%
7%
Clean sheet %
13%
93%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
7.0
0.0
Avg shots
15.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
4.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.5
0.0
Avg fouls
11.0
0.0%
Avg possession
54.0%
Home vs Away
Derby County U21
Home (3)
—
Leeds United U21
Away (2)
0.33
PPG
0.50
0%
Win %
0%
2.67
Goals / game
2.50
3.67
Conceded / game
3.00
80%
BTTS %
70%
0%
Clean sheet %
10%
100%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
7.0
0.0
Avg shots
15.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
4.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.5
0.0%
Avg possession
54.0%
Goals Scored
| Derby County | Home | Away | Leeds United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 80% | 89% | 80% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 40% | 78% | 60% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 40% | 33% | 33% | 40% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 20% | 11% | 20% | 0% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Derby County | Home | Away | Leeds United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 100% | 89% | 87% | 80% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 100% | 56% | 67% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 57% | 100% | 33% | 47% | 40% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 0% | 11% | 13% | 20% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Derby County | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 93% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 86% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 47% |
| BTTS | 79% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 79% | 73% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Derby County | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 86% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 71% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Derby County (H)L
Norwich City U213–4
Norwich City U213–4L
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3D
West Bromwich Albion U214–4
West Bromwich Albion U214–4L
Hull City U211–4
Hull City U211–4L
Carlisle0–3
Carlisle0–3W
Sunderland U212–1
Sunderland U212–1Leeds United (A)L
Hartlepool1–3
Hartlepool1–3L
Oldham2–4
Oldham2–4L
Tamworth0–1
Tamworth0–1W
Barnsley4–3
Barnsley4–3D
Middlesbrough U214–4
Middlesbrough U214–4W
Solihull Moors3–2
Solihull Moors3–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Derby County | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
0
Derby County
0%
0
Draws
0%
4
Leeds United
100%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
100%
Over 2.5
4/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
15/02/25Leeds United U21
Derby County U21
1–2Leeds United U2115/04/24Derby County U21
Leeds United U21
3–0Derby County U2106/03/23Derby County U21
Leeds United U21
3–0Derby County U2105/08/22Leeds United U21
Derby County U21
2–5Leeds United U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 |  Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 3 |  Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 | Norwich City U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 |  Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 | Sunderland U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 |  AFC Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 9 |
| 12 |  Brentford U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Derby County U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 19 | Leeds United U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 20 |  Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 21 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Stoke City U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |  Leicester City U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 25 |  Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6 | 4 |
| 26 |  Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Newcastle United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Wolves U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 3 |
| 29 | Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 30 |  Birmingham City U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11 | 2 |
| 31 | West Bromwich Albion U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Derby County- ●Derby County U21 have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●69% of Derby County U21's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●86% of Derby County U21's points have been earned away.
- ●Derby County U21 have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Leeds United- ●Leeds United U21 have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●86% of Leeds United U21's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Derby CountyLHNorwich City U213–4
Norwich City U213–4WABirmingham City U214–0
Birmingham City U214–0LABurnley U211–4
Burnley U211–4LHTottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3DHWest Bromwich Albion U214–4
West Bromwich Albion U214–4WAReading U213–1
Reading U213–1–AMiddlesbrough U2109/11
Middlesbrough U2109/11–HIpswich Town U2130/11
Ipswich Town U2130/11–HFulham U2114/12
Fulham U2114/12Leeds UnitedLHCrystal Palace U211–4
Crystal Palace U211–4WHNewcastle United U212–0
Newcastle United U212–0DAMiddlesbrough U214–4
Middlesbrough U214–4LALiverpool U211–2
Liverpool U211–2WHWest Bromwich Albion U214–3
West Bromwich Albion U214–3–AAston Villa U2126/10
Aston Villa U2126/10–HAFC Bournemouth U2108/11
AFC Bournemouth U2108/11–AEverton U2130/11
Everton U2130/11Top Scorers
Derby CountyJ. Oguntolu9 ⚽
M. Mintus4 ⚽
C. Smith3 ⚽
J. Davidson3 ⚽
C. Wilson3 ⚽
Z. Marsh2 ⚽
Leeds UnitedC. Njinko9 ⚽
Callum Mills4 ⚽
F. Lane4 ⚽
J. McDonald3 ⚽
H. Vincent2 ⚽
J. Render1 ⚽
Cards Given
Derby CountyI. Gordon4 🟨
C. Smith3 🟨
K. Robinson3 🟨
M. Tola3 🟨
R. Harvey2 🟨
F. Jones2 🟨
Leeds UnitedL. Philpott3 🟨
F. Lane2 🟨
R. Chadwick-Chaplin2 🟨
J. Howson1 🟨
J. Lienou1 🟨
Luke Matykiewicz1 🟨