Aston Villa U21 vs Stoke City U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Aston Villa U21 and Stoke City U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 5 February 2027. Aston Villa U21 have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.82 goals scored and 2.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Stoke City U21 have won 12% of their 17 matches, with 1.12 goals scored and 2.35 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.08 for Aston Villa U21 and 1.67 for Stoke City U21. The models give Aston Villa U21 a 51% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Stoke City U21 win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Aston Villa U21—
Stoke City U2116º
Position
23º
1.60
PPG
0.67
40%
Win %
17%
1.60
Goals / game
1.83
1.60
Conceded / game
1.83
73%
BTTS %
47%
9%
Clean sheet %
24%
82%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.3
Avg corners
0.0
11.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.3
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.3
Avg yellow cards
0.0
12.0
Avg fouls
0.0
50.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Aston Villa U21
Home (3)
—
Stoke City U21
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
0.33
33%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
1.33
1.67
Conceded / game
2.00
60%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
20%
80%
Over 2.5 %
80%
4.3
Avg corners
0.0
11.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.3
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.3
Avg yellow cards
0.0
50.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Aston Villa | Home | Away | Stoke City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 60% | 100% | 61% | 57% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 60% | 67% | 33% | 43% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 14% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 40% | 0% | 39% | 43% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Aston Villa | Home | Away | Stoke City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 100% | 83% | 78% | 71% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 60% | 67% | 78% | 71% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 45% | 20% | 67% | 44% | 14% | 64% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 0% | 17% | 22% | 29% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aston Villa | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 82% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 | 64% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 | 45% | 22% |
| BTTS | 73% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 73% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aston Villa | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 73% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 61% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 72% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Aston Villa (H)D
Middlesbrough U212–2
Middlesbrough U212–2W
Real Sociedad II5–1
Real Sociedad II5–1L
Brondby U210–4
Brondby U210–4L
Crystal Palace U210–2
Crystal Palace U210–2W
Brighton U212–1
Brighton U212–1L
Manchester City U212–3
Manchester City U212–3Stoke City (A)L
Gateshead1–3
Gateshead1–3D
Leeds United U212–2
Leeds United U212–2LManchester City U213–4
Manchester City U213–4L
FC Halifax Town2–4
FC Halifax Town2–4L
AFC Bournemouth U211–2
AFC Bournemouth U211–2L
Wealdstone0–6
Wealdstone0–6Team Corners
| Team Corners | Aston Villa | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 0% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
2
Aston Villa
40%
3
Draws
60%
0
Stoke City
0%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
17/04/26Aston Villa U21
Stoke City U21
0–1Aston Villa U2108/03/25Aston Villa U21
Stoke City U21
1–1Aston Villa U2123/02/24Stoke City U21
Aston Villa U21
2–2Stoke City U2110/02/23Stoke City U21
Aston Villa U21
1–0Stoke City U2118/09/22Aston Villa U21
Stoke City U21
3–3Aston Villa U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 |  Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 3 |  Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |  Norwich City U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 |  Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Sunderland U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 | AFC Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 9 |
| 12 |  Brentford U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 | Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 |  Derby County U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 19 | Leeds United U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 20 | Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 21 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 23 | Stoke City U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |  Leicester City U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 25 |  Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6 | 4 |
| 26 |  Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Newcastle United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Wolves U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 3 |
| 29 | Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 30 |  Birmingham City U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11 | 2 |
| 31 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Aston Villa- ●Aston Villa U21 have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
Stoke City- ●Stoke City U21 have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Stoke City U21 have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Stoke City U21 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Stoke City U21 have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●64% of Stoke City U21's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Aston VillaWABurnley U211–0
Burnley U211–0DHMiddlesbrough U212–2
Middlesbrough U212–2DAFulham U213–3
Fulham U213–3LHCrystal Palace U210–2
Crystal Palace U210–2WHBrighton U212–1
Brighton U212–1–HLeeds United U2126/10
Leeds United U2126/10–AArsenal U2108/11
Arsenal U2108/11–ALeicester City U2130/11
Leicester City U2130/11Stoke CityLAManchester City U213–4
Manchester City U213–4LHChelsea U211–2
Chelsea U211–2LAAFC Bournemouth U211–2
AFC Bournemouth U211–2WHWolves U214–0
Wolves U214–0DANorwich City U210–0
Norwich City U210–0LHBrentford U212–3
Brentford U212–3–HFulham U2106/11
Fulham U2106/11–ASunderland U2130/11
Sunderland U2130/11–ASouthampton U2112/12
Southampton U2112/12Top Scorers
Aston VillaJ. Blake3 ⚽
O. Johnson2 ⚽
R. Wilson2 ⚽
J. McGrath2 ⚽
M. Meade2 ⚽
2 ⚽
Stoke CityT. Martin3 ⚽
L. Bradbury2 ⚽
E. Fearn2 ⚽
A. Walker2 ⚽
A. Ampah2 ⚽
P. Makavore1 ⚽
Cards Given
Aston VillaL. Routh4 🟨
W. Burgess4 🟨
Leon Routh2 🟨
O. Johnson1 🟨
R. Wilson1 🟨
T. Carroll1 🟨
Stoke CityG. Morrison4 🟨
G. Kelly3 🟨
A. Dauda2 🟨
J. Mears2 🟨
E. Fearn1 🟨
F. Poole1 🟨