Derby County U21 vs Southampton U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Derby County U21 and Southampton U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 11 January 2027. Derby County U21 have recorded 3 wins from 13 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 2.85 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 77% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 92%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Southampton U21 have won 50% of their 16 matches, with 2.31 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.92 for Derby County U21 and 2.27 for Southampton U21. The models give Derby County U21 a 30% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Southampton U21 win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 79% and BTTS at 76%.
Season Statistics
Derby County U21—
Southampton U2118º
Position
2º
1.17
PPG
2.60
33%
Win %
80%
2.67
Goals / game
2.40
2.67
Conceded / game
0.80
77%
BTTS %
75%
8%
Clean sheet %
25%
92%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Derby County U21
Home (3)
—
Southampton U21
Away (4)
0.33
PPG
2.50
0%
Win %
75%
2.67
Goals / game
2.25
3.67
Conceded / game
0.75
80%
BTTS %
75%
0%
Clean sheet %
25%
100%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Derby County | Home | Away | Southampton U21 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 80% | 89% | 88% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 40% | 78% | 56% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 40% | 33% | 38% | 75% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 20% | 11% | 13% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Derby County | Home | Away | Southampton U21 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 100% | 89% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 100% | 56% | 38% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 57% | 100% | 33% | 19% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Derby County | Southampton U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 93% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 86% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 31% |
| BTTS | 79% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 79% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Derby County | Southampton U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 69% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 86% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 71% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Derby County (H)L
Norwich City U213–4
Norwich City U213–4L
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3D
West Bromwich Albion U214–4
West Bromwich Albion U214–4L
Hull City U211–4
Hull City U211–4L
Carlisle0–3
Carlisle0–3W
Sunderland U212–1
Sunderland U212–1Southampton U21 (A)D
Sutton Utd0–0
Sutton Utd0–0L
Blackburn Rovers U211–2
Blackburn Rovers U211–2W
Crystal Palace U215–2
Crystal Palace U215–2W
Boston United6–5
Boston United6–5W
Wolves U212–0
Wolves U212–0L
Woking1–4
Woking1–4Head to Head · 5 matches
0
Derby County
0%
1
Draws
20%
4
Southampton U21
80%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
80%
Over 2.5
4/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
03/10/25Derby County U21
Southampton U21
4–1Derby County U2111/04/25Southampton U21
Derby County U21
0–0Southampton U2115/12/23Derby County U21
Southampton U21
2–1Derby County U2131/03/23Southampton U21
Derby County U21
1–3Southampton U2106/01/23Derby County U21
Southampton U21
3–0Derby County U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 3 |  Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 | Norwich City U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 |  Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 | Sunderland U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 |  AFC Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 9 |
| 12 |  Brentford U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Derby County U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 19 |  Leeds United U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 20 |  Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 21 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn Rovers U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Stoke City U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |  Leicester City U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 25 |  Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6 | 4 |
| 26 |  Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Newcastle United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 28 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 3 |
| 29 |  Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 30 |  Birmingham City U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11 | 2 |
| 31 | West Bromwich Albion U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Derby County- ●Derby County U21 have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●69% of Derby County U21's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●86% of Derby County U21's points have been earned away.
- ●Derby County U21 have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Southampton U21- ●Southampton U21 have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Southampton U21 have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Southampton U21 have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Southampton U21 have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of Southampton U21's goals have been scored away.
- ●77% of Southampton U21's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Derby CountyLHNorwich City U213–4
Norwich City U213–4WABirmingham City U214–0
Birmingham City U214–0LABurnley U211–4
Burnley U211–4LHTottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3DHWest Bromwich Albion U214–4
West Bromwich Albion U214–4WAReading U213–1
Reading U213–1–AMiddlesbrough U2109/11
Middlesbrough U2109/11–HIpswich Town U2130/11
Ipswich Town U2130/11–HFulham U2114/12
Fulham U2114/12Southampton U21WACrystal Palace U215–2
Crystal Palace U215–2WAWolves U212–0
Wolves U212–0WHAFC Bournemouth U213–1
AFC Bournemouth U213–1WAEverton U212–1
Everton U212–1DAWest Ham United U210–0
West Ham United U210–0–HIpswich Town U2117/10
Ipswich Town U2117/10–HNorwich City U2107/11
Norwich City U2107/11–ABrighton U2129/11
Brighton U2129/11Top Scorers
Derby CountyJ. Oguntolu9 ⚽
M. Mintus4 ⚽
C. Smith3 ⚽
J. Davidson3 ⚽
C. Wilson3 ⚽
Z. Marsh2 ⚽
Southampton U21P. Ehibhatiomhan17 ⚽
S. Sillah Dibaga6 ⚽
H. Gathercole3 ⚽
M. Sesay2 ⚽
R. Akachukwu2 ⚽
A. Daley2 ⚽
Cards Given
Derby CountyI. Gordon4 🟨
C. Smith3 🟨
K. Robinson3 🟨
M. Tola3 🟨
R. Harvey2 🟨
F. Jones2 🟨
Southampton U21H. Gathercole3 🟨
J. Kayi Sanda3 🟨
S. Kakay2 🟨
H. Adjei Afriyie2 🟨
R. Akachukwu2 🟨
2 🟨