Newcastle United U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Newcastle United U21 and AFC Bournemouth U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 21 December 2026. Newcastle United U21 have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 2.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. AFC Bournemouth U21 have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 2.45 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 91%, Over 2.5 at 91%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.16 for Newcastle United U21 and 2.04 for AFC Bournemouth U21. The models give Newcastle United U21 a 41% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an AFC Bournemouth U21 win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 79% and BTTS at 77%.
Season Statistics
Newcastle United U21—
AFC Bournemouth U2127º
Position
9º
0.75
PPG
1.67
25%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
2.33
2.75
Conceded / game
2.17
75%
BTTS %
91%
8%
Clean sheet %
9%
83%
Over 2.5 %
91%
1.5
Avg corners
0.0
7.0
Avg shots
0.0
2.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
15.0
Avg fouls
0.0
39.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Newcastle United U21
Home (3)
—
AFC Bournemouth U21
Away (2)
1.00
PPG
0.50
33%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
2.00
3.00
Conceded / game
3.00
60%
BTTS %
75%
20%
Clean sheet %
25%
80%
Over 2.5 %
75%
1.5
Avg corners
0.0
7.0
Avg shots
0.0
2.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
39.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Newcastle United | Home | Away | AFC Bournemouth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 80% | 88% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 60% | 38% | 73% | 100% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 40% | 25% | 45% | 57% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 20% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Newcastle United | Home | Away | AFC Bournemouth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 80% | 88% | 91% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 60% | 63% | 55% | 43% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 40% | 13% | 36% | 14% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newcastle United | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 45% |
| BTTS | 69% | 91% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 45% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 69% | 91% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newcastle United | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 73% |
Recent Venue Form
Newcastle United (H)W
Peterborough United U212–0
Peterborough United U212–0W
Sunderland U213–2
Sunderland U213–2W
Luton Town U214–1
Luton Town U214–1L
Fulham U210–4
Fulham U210–4L
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3D
Wolves U211–1
Wolves U211–1AFC Bournemouth (A)D
Brighton U213–3
Brighton U213–3L
Southampton U211–3
Southampton U211–3W
Leicester City U211–0
Leicester City U211–0L
Cardiff City U211–4
Cardiff City U211–4L
Huddersfield Town U211–4
Huddersfield Town U211–4W
Hull City U214–0
Hull City U214–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Newcastle United | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 3 |  Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |  Norwich City U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 |  Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 | Sunderland U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 | AFC Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 9 |
| 12 |  Brentford U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 | Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 |  Derby County U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 19 |  Leeds United U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 20 |  Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 21 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Stoke City U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 | Leicester City U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 25 |  Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6 | 4 |
| 26 |  Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 | Newcastle United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 28 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 3 |
| 29 |  Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 30 |  Birmingham City U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11 | 2 |
| 31 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Newcastle United- ●Newcastle United U21 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●82% of Newcastle United U21's goals conceded were conceded at home.
AFC Bournemouth- ●AFC Bournemouth U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●AFC Bournemouth U21 have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●AFC Bournemouth U21 have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Bournemouth U21 have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●71% of AFC Bournemouth U21's goals have been scored at home.
- ●90% of AFC Bournemouth U21's points have been earned at home.
- ●AFC Bournemouth U21 have scored 71% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Newcastle UnitedWHSunderland U213–2
Sunderland U213–2LALeeds United U210–2
Leeds United U210–2LHFulham U210–4
Fulham U210–4LHTottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3–AWest Bromwich Albion U2112/09
West Bromwich Albion U2112/09–HManchester City U2118/10
Manchester City U2118/10–AReading U2106/11
Reading U2106/11AFC BournemouthLHBrentford U213–4
Brentford U213–4DABrighton U213–3
Brighton U213–3WHStoke City U212–1
Stoke City U212–1LASouthampton U211–3
Southampton U211–3WHMiddlesbrough U213–1
Middlesbrough U213–1WHChelsea U212–1
Chelsea U212–1–ALeeds United U2108/11
Leeds United U2108/11–HReading U2130/11
Reading U2130/11–HSunderland U2114/12
Sunderland U2114/12Top Scorers
Newcastle UnitedV. Salia3 ⚽
Kyran Thompson2 ⚽
A. Ca2 ⚽
K. Thompson2 ⚽
J. Koussou1 ⚽
Afner Bernardinho Cá1 ⚽
AFC BournemouthE. Nyarko5 ⚽
J. Day4 ⚽
C. Stevens3 ⚽
G. Chubinidze3 ⚽
E. Sills2 ⚽
M. Dacosta2 ⚽
Cards Given
Newcastle UnitedS. Bailey4 🟨
M. Ferreira2 🟨
D. Charlton1 🟨
G. Mair1 🟨
H. Johnson1 🟨
Dylan Charlton1 🟨
AFC BournemouthE. Nyarko3 🟨
B. Winterburn2 🟨
A. Solanke2 🟨
A. Ali2 🟨
Z. Christie1 🟨
1 🟨