Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Middlesbrough U21 and Derby County U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 9 November 2026. Middlesbrough U21 have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 2.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Derby County U21 have won 23% of their 13 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 2.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 77%, Over 2.5 at 92%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.06 for Middlesbrough U21 and 2.02 for Derby County U21. The models give Middlesbrough U21 a 42% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Derby County U21 win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 77% and BTTS at 76%.
Season Statistics
Middlesbrough U21—
Derby County U2129º
Position
18º
0.33
PPG
1.17
0%
Win %
33%
1.50
Goals / game
2.67
2.33
Conceded / game
2.67
75%
BTTS %
77%
17%
Clean sheet %
8%
75%
Over 2.5 %
92%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Middlesbrough U21
Home (3)
—
Derby County U21
Away (3)
0.33
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
67%
1.67
Goals / game
2.67
2.33
Conceded / game
1.67
60%
BTTS %
75%
20%
Clean sheet %
13%
40%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Middlesbrough U21 | Home | Away | Derby County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 83% | 100% | 86% | 80% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 33% | 57% | 64% | 40% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 33% | 43% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 17% | 0% | 14% | 20% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Middlesbrough U21 | Home | Away | Derby County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 83% | 86% | 93% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 50% | 57% | 71% | 100% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 17% | 29% | 57% | 100% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 17% | 14% | 7% | 0% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Middlesbrough U21 | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 | 62% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 43% |
| BTTS | 77% | 79% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 69% | 79% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Middlesbrough U21 | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 77% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 15% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 86% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 71% |
Recent Venue Form
Middlesbrough U21 (H)W
Valencia U213–2
Valencia U213–2L
Tottenham Hotspur U211–2
Tottenham Hotspur U211–2W
Juventus U211–0
Juventus U211–0D
Genk U211–1
Genk U211–1D
Leeds United U214–4
Leeds United U214–4L
Norwich City U210–1
Norwich City U210–1Derby County (A)D
Wealdstone2–2
Wealdstone2–2L
Hull City U210–1
Hull City U210–1W
Birmingham City U214–0
Birmingham City U214–0D
Scunthorpe2–2
Scunthorpe2–2L
Brentford U212–4
Brentford U212–4L
Burnley U211–4
Burnley U211–4Head to Head · 4 matches
3
Middlesbrough U21
75%
0
Draws
0%
1
Derby County
25%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
20/03/26Middlesbrough U21
Derby County U21
1–0Middlesbrough U2105/11/23Derby County U21
Middlesbrough U21
1–0Derby County U2124/03/23Middlesbrough U21
Derby County U21
1–5Middlesbrough U2112/08/22Derby County U21
Middlesbrough U21
3–1Derby County U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 |  Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 3 |  Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 | Norwich City U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 |  Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Sunderland U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 |  AFC Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 9 |
| 12 | Brentford U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Derby County U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 19 | Leeds United U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 20 |  Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 21 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Stoke City U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |  Leicester City U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 25 |  Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6 | 4 |
| 26 | Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Newcastle United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Wolves U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 3 |
| 29 | Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 30 | Birmingham City U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11 | 2 |
| 31 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Middlesbrough U21- ●Middlesbrough U21 have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Middlesbrough U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Middlesbrough U21 have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Middlesbrough U21 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Middlesbrough U21 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Middlesbrough U21 have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Middlesbrough U21 have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Derby County- ●Derby County U21 have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●69% of Derby County U21's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●86% of Derby County U21's points have been earned away.
- ●Derby County U21 have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Middlesbrough U21LHTottenham Hotspur U211–2
Tottenham Hotspur U211–2LAEverton U211–2
Everton U211–2DAAston Villa U212–2
Aston Villa U212–2DHLeeds United U214–4
Leeds United U214–4LAAFC Bournemouth U211–3
AFC Bournemouth U211–3LHNorwich City U210–1
Norwich City U210–1–HDerby County U2109/11
Derby County U2109/11–AWolves U2130/11
Wolves U2130/11–HLeicester City U2111/12
Leicester City U2111/12Derby CountyLHNorwich City U213–4
Norwich City U213–4WABirmingham City U214–0
Birmingham City U214–0LABurnley U211–4
Burnley U211–4LHTottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3DHWest Bromwich Albion U214–4
West Bromwich Albion U214–4WAReading U213–1
Reading U213–1–AMiddlesbrough U2109/11
Middlesbrough U2109/11–HIpswich Town U2130/11
Ipswich Town U2130/11–HFulham U2114/12
Fulham U2114/12Top Scorers
Middlesbrough U21F. Coulson8 ⚽
C. Ibeh8 ⚽
L. Campbell4 ⚽
E. Tika-Lemba2 ⚽
L. Harrison1 ⚽
L. Kakai1 ⚽
Derby CountyJ. Oguntolu9 ⚽
M. Mintus4 ⚽
C. Smith3 ⚽
J. Davidson3 ⚽
C. Wilson3 ⚽
Z. Marsh2 ⚽
Cards Given
Middlesbrough U21J. Dede4 🟨
C. Ibeh3 🟨
J. Wilson2 🟨
O. Martin2 🟨
J. Carbon1 🟨
I. Greenup1 🟨
Derby CountyI. Gordon4 🟨
C. Smith3 🟨
K. Robinson3 🟨
M. Tola3 🟨
R. Harvey2 🟨
F. Jones2 🟨