Fazendense vs UD da Serra — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Fazendense and UD da Serra meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Fazendense have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 89%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. UD da Serra have won 56% of their 9 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 89%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Fazendense and 1.58 for UD da Serra. The models give Fazendense a 32% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an UD da Serra win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
FazendenseUD da SerraHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Fazendense | Home | Away | UD da | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 33% | 0% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 33% | 0% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Fazendense | Home | Away | UD da | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 83% | 100% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 78% | 67% | 100% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 17% | 67% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 17% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fazendense | UD da | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 89% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 22% |
| BTTS | 78% | 89% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 44% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 44% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 78% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fazendense | UD da | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Fazendense (H)
Os Marialvas1–2
Estrela1–2
Ginásio Figueirense6–1
O Elvas1–2
Mocarriense1–0
AD Nogueirense3–3UD da (A)
Vitoria Setubal1–1O Elvas2–1
Amora4–3AD Nogueirense1–1
Naval 18932–1
Samora Correir2–4| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 | Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 |  Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 |  FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
Fazendense- ●Fazendense have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Fazendense have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Fazendense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Fazendense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Fazendense have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Fazendense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
UD da- ●UD da Serra have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●UD da Serra failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●UD da Serra have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●UD da Serra have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●UD da Serra have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
FazendenseOs Marialvas1–2Atlético Malveira1–3FC Alverca II0–5O Elvas1–2Mortágua1–2AD Nogueirense3–3Fátima01/11Nazarenos08/11Sertanense28/11UD daAtlético Malveira1–1O Elvas2–1Mortágua1–1AD Nogueirense1–1FC Alverca II2–1Naval 18932–1Os Marialvas01/11Fátima08/11Nazarenos28/11Top Scorers
FazendenseUD daCards Given
FazendenseUD da