Benfica Castelo Branco vs Nazarenos — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Benfica Castelo Branco and Nazarenos meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Benfica Castelo Branco have recorded 3 wins from 6 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Nazarenos have won 17% of their 6 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 83%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.75 for Benfica Castelo Branco and 1.63 for Nazarenos. The models give Benfica Castelo Branco a 47% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Nazarenos win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Benfica Castelo BrancoNazarenosHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | Nazarenos | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 57% | 75% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | Nazarenos | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 100% | 50% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 57% | 100% | 25% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Benfica Castelo | Nazarenos | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 71% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 0% |
| BTTS | 71% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 43% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Benfica Castelo | Nazarenos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 14% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 86% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 86% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Benfica Castelo (H)
O Elvas1–3
AD Nogueirense2–3
Naval 18931–4
Samora Correir1–2
Oliveira Hospital1–1
Lusitânia2–0Nazarenos (A)
Fátima3–1
Atlético Malveira0–3
Mortágua1–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 |  UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 |  Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 | Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 |  FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
Benfica Castelo- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●83% of Benfica Castelo Branco's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Benfica Castelo Branco's points have been earned away.
Nazarenos- ●Nazarenos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
Season Schedule
Benfica CasteloO Elvas1–3Mortágua1–0AD Nogueirense2–3FC Alverca II1–0Naval 18931–4Oliveira Hospital3–2Atlético Malveira01/11Os Marialvas08/11Fátima28/11NazarenosOliveira Hospital1–1Fátima3–1Os Marialvas0–3Atlético Malveira0–3O Elvas0–1Mortágua1–3Sertanense01/11Fazendense08/11UD da Serra28/11Top Scorers
Benfica CasteloNazarenosCards Given
Benfica CasteloNazarenos