Sertanense vs Fazendense — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Sertanense and Fazendense meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Sertanense have recorded 0 wins from 6 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.50 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 17%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Fazendense have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.86 for Sertanense and 1.23 for Fazendense. The models give Sertanense a 52% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Fazendense win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
SertanenseFazendenseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sertanense | Home | Away | Fazendense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 100% | 25% | 88% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 0% | 75% | 13% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Sertanense | Home | Away | Fazendense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 100% | 75% | 88% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 25% | 75% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 50% | 0% | 38% | 20% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 0% | 25% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sertanense | Fazendense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 17% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 38% |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 17% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sertanense | Fazendense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 63% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 13% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 0% | 88% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Sertanense (H)
Atlético Malveira1–1
Mortágua1–3
Alcains3–1Mortágua0–2
O Elvas0–0
Pêro Pinheiro1–0Fazendense (A)Atlético Malveira1–3
FC Alverca II0–5Mortágua1–2
Sintrense0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 |  UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 |  Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 | Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 |  AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
Sertanense- ●Sertanense have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
Fazendense- ●Fazendense have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Fazendense have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Fazendense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fazendense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fazendense have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Fazendense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Fazendense's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Fazendense have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
SertanenseOs Marialvas0–0O Elvas0–2Atlético Malveira1–1Mortágua1–3AD Nogueirense1–1Fátima25/10Nazarenos01/11Oliveira Hospital08/11FazendenseAtlético Malveira1–3FC Alverca II0–5O Elvas1–2Mortágua1–2AD Nogueirense3–3Os Marialvas25/10Fátima01/11Nazarenos08/11Top Scorers
SertanenseFazendenseCards Given
SertanenseFazendense