Nazarenos vs UD da Serra — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Nazarenos and UD da Serra meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Nazarenos have recorded 1 wins from 6 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. UD da Serra have won 63% of their 8 matches, with 2.25 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 88%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.09 for Nazarenos and 1.56 for UD da Serra. The models give Nazarenos a 25% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an UD da Serra win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
NazarenosUD da SerraHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nazarenos | Home | Away | UD da | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 33% | 0% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 0% | 33% | 63% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 0% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 67% | 100% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Nazarenos | Home | Away | UD da | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 88% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 67% | 67% | 13% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 67% | 67% | 67% | 13% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nazarenos | UD da | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS | 33% | 88% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 50% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nazarenos | UD da | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 17% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 67% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 83% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Nazarenos (H)
Os Marialvas0–3
Vitória de Sernache0–3
O Elvas0–1
Pacos Ferreira0–1
Sourense1–0UD da (A)
Vitoria Setubal1–1O Elvas2–1
Amora4–3
AD Nogueirense1–1
Naval 18932–1
Samora Correir2–4| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 | Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 |  Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 |  FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
Nazarenos- ●Nazarenos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
UD da- ●UD da Serra have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●UD da Serra failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●UD da Serra have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●UD da Serra have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●62% of UD da Serra's goals have been scored away.
- ●64% of UD da Serra's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
NazarenosFátima3–1Os Marialvas0–3Atlético Malveira0–3O Elvas0–1Mortágua1–3Oliveira Hospital25/10Sertanense01/11Fazendense08/11UD daO Elvas2–1Mortágua1–1AD Nogueirense1–1FC Alverca II2–1Naval 18932–1Atlético Malveira25/10Os Marialvas01/11Fátima08/11Top Scorers
NazarenosUD daCards Given
NazarenosUD da