Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Fátima and Benfica Castelo Branco meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Fátima have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Benfica Castelo Branco have won 50% of their 6 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Fátima and 1.33 for Benfica Castelo Branco. The models give Fátima a 37% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Benfica Castelo Branco win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
FátimaBenfica Castelo BrancoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Fátima | Home | Away | Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 83% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 17% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Fátima | Home | Away | Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 67% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 17% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 17% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fátima | Benfica Castelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 50% |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fátima | Benfica Castelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 83% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Fátima (H)
Academico Viseu1–0
Nazarenos1–3
Vinhais4–1
Oliveira Hospital0–1Benfica Castelo Branco3–1
Atlético Malveira5–0Benfica Castelo (A)
Mortágua1–0
FC Alverca II1–0Fátima1–3Oliveira Hospital3–2Fátima1–4
Peniche2–0Head to Head · 7 matches
Benfica Castelo BrancoBenfica Castelo BrancoFátimaBenfica Castelo BrancoFátimaFátimaBenfica Castelo Branco| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 |  UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 |  Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 | Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 |  AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
Fátima- ●Fátima have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Fátima have lost their last 3 matches.
Benfica Castelo- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●62% of Benfica Castelo Branco's goals have been scored away.
- ●78% of Benfica Castelo Branco's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Benfica Castelo Branco's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
FátimaNazarenos1–3Oliveira Hospital0–1Os Marialvas0–3Atlético Malveira5–0O Elvas1–1Sertanense25/10Fazendense01/11UD da Serra08/11Benfica CasteloMortágua1–0AD Nogueirense2–3FC Alverca II1–0Naval 18931–4Oliveira Hospital3–2O Elvas25/10Atlético Malveira01/11Os Marialvas08/11Top Scorers
FátimaBenfica CasteloCards Given
FátimaBenfica Castelo