AD Nogueirense vs Mortágua — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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AD Nogueirense and Mortágua meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 8 November 2026. AD Nogueirense have recorded 1 wins from 6 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 83% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Mortágua have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.17 for AD Nogueirense and 1.22 for Mortágua. The models give AD Nogueirense a 37% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Mortágua win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
AD NogueirenseMortáguaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| AD Nogueirense | Home | Away | Mortágua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 75% | 100% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 0% | 100% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 0% | 100% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 25% | 0% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| AD Nogueirense | Home | Away | Mortágua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 75% | 100% | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 100% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 25% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AD Nogueirense | Mortágua | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS | 83% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 50% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AD Nogueirense | Mortágua | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 67% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
AD Nogueirense (H)
Naval 18930–0
UD da Serra1–1Naval 18931–3
Sertanense1–1
Gafanha0–1Mortágua (A)UD da Serra1–1
SC Covilha0–0Sertanense3–1
Vitória de Sernache0–1Naval 18930–2
Samora Correir0–1Head to Head · 1 matches
AD Nogueirense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 |  Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 | Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 |  FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
AD Nogueirense- ●AD Nogueirense have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●AD Nogueirense have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●75% of AD Nogueirense's goals have been scored away.
- ●AD Nogueirense have scored 88% of their goals in the first half.
Mortágua- ●Mortágua failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
Season Schedule
AD NogueirenseNaval 18930–0Benfica Castelo Branco3–2UD da Serra1–1Fazendense3–3Sertanense1–1FC Alverca II25/10Oliveira Hospital01/11Mortágua08/11MortáguaBenfica Castelo Branco0–1UD da Serra1–1Fazendense2–1Sertanense3–1Nazarenos3–1Naval 189325/10FC Alverca II01/11AD Nogueirense08/11Top Scorers
AD NogueirenseMortágua