Nazarenos vs Sertanense — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Nazarenos and Sertanense meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Nazarenos have recorded 1 wins from 6 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Sertanense have won 0% of their 6 matches, with 0.50 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 17%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.07 for Nazarenos and 1.17 for Sertanense. The models give Nazarenos a 36% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Sertanense win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
NazarenosSertanenseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nazarenos | Home | Away | Sertanense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 43% | 25% | 67% | 57% | 100% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 57% | 75% | 33% | 43% | 0% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| Nazarenos | Home | Away | Sertanense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 67% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 67% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nazarenos | Sertanense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 43% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 43% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 43% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nazarenos | Sertanense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 14% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 0% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 86% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Nazarenos (H)
Oliveira Hospital1–1
Os Marialvas0–3
Vitória de Sernache0–3
O Elvas0–1
Pacos Ferreira0–1
Sourense1–0Sertanense (A)Os Marialvas0–0O Elvas0–2
Alcains0–1
AD Nogueirense1–1
Benfica Castelo Branco0–1Os Marialvas1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 |  UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 | Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 |  Mortágua | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Atlético Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Fátima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 |  FC Alverca II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
Nazarenos- ●Nazarenos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
Sertanense- ●Sertanense have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●67% of Sertanense's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
NazarenosOliveira Hospital1–1Fátima3–1Os Marialvas0–3Atlético Malveira0–3O Elvas0–1Mortágua1–3Sertanense01/11Fazendense08/11UD da Serra28/11SertanenseFátima2–2Os Marialvas0–0O Elvas0–2Atlético Malveira1–1Mortágua1–3AD Nogueirense1–1Nazarenos01/11Oliveira Hospital08/11Fazendense28/11Top Scorers
NazarenosSertanenseCards Given
NazarenosSertanense