Eastbourne Borough vs Welling United — Non League Premier - Isthmian
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Eastbourne Borough and Welling United meet in the Non League Premier - Isthmian 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Eastbourne Borough have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Welling United have won 58% of their 12 matches, with 1.92 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.13 for Eastbourne Borough and 1.44 for Welling United. The models give Eastbourne Borough a 49% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Welling United win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Eastbourne Borough—
Welling United12º
Position
2º
1.43
PPG
2.14
43%
Win %
71%
1.71
Goals / game
2.29
1.43
Conceded / game
1.29
67%
BTTS %
58%
11%
Clean sheet %
33%
78%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Eastbourne Borough
Home (4)
—
Welling United
Away (3)
2.25
PPG
1.00
75%
Win %
33%
2.25
Goals / game
1.67
1.25
Conceded / game
2.67
50%
BTTS %
67%
25%
Clean sheet %
17%
75%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Eastbourne Borough | Home | Away | Welling United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 75% | 80% | 92% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 60% | 50% | 83% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 44% | 75% | 20% | 33% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 25% | 20% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Eastbourne Borough | Home | Away | Welling United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 75% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 80% | 42% | 17% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Eastbourne Borough | Welling United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 42% |
| BTTS | 67% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Eastbourne Borough | Welling United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Eastbourne Borough (H)W
Cheshunt3–0
Cheshunt3–0L
Leatherhead0–1
Leatherhead0–1W
Brentwood Town3–2
Brentwood Town3–2W
Three Bridges3–2
Three Bridges3–2L
AFC Totton2–3
AFC Totton2–3D
Tonbridge Angels1–1
Tonbridge Angels1–1Welling United (A)D
Faversham Town1–1
Faversham Town1–1L
Cray Wanderers1–4
Cray Wanderers1–4W
Dartford3–0
Dartford3–0LLeatherhead1–4
Leatherhead1–4L
Folkestone Invicta0–2
Folkestone Invicta0–2L
Maidstone Utd1–4
Maidstone Utd1–4Head to Head · 11 matches
6
Eastbourne Borough
55%
3
Draws
27%
2
Welling United
18%
64%
Over 1.5
7/11
45%
Over 2.5
5/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
45%
BTTS
5/11
05/11/24Welling United
Eastbourne Borough
4–1Welling United12/10/24Eastbourne Borough
Welling United
0–1Eastbourne Borough16/12/23Eastbourne Borough
Welling United
0–2Eastbourne Borough23/09/23Welling United
Eastbourne Borough
2–2Welling United10/04/23Eastbourne Borough
Welling United
1–0Eastbourne Borough13/09/22Welling United
Eastbourne Borough
0–1Welling United15/04/22Welling United
Eastbourne Borough
3–3Welling United04/12/21Eastbourne Borough
Welling United
0–2Eastbourne Borough31/10/20Welling United
Eastbourne Borough
2–1Welling United28/12/19Welling United
Eastbourne Borough
2–1Welling United03/09/19Eastbourne Borough
Welling United
0–0Eastbourne Borough| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enfield Town | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +14 | 18 |
| 2 | Welling United | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 |  Carshalton Athletic | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | Dartford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Dulwich Hamlet | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 |
| 6 |  St Albans City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Leatherhead | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lewes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Chatham Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 10 |  Ramsgate | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 10 |
| 11 |  Aveley | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 12 | Eastbourne Borough | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Burgess Hill Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Maldon & Tiptree | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 16 |  Wingate & Finchley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Cheshunt | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 |  Whyteleafe | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 19 | Three Bridges | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 20 | Brentwood Town | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 3 |
| 21 |  Whitehawk | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 2 |
| 22 |  Stanway Rovers | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
Eastbourne Borough- ●Eastbourne Borough have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●75% of Eastbourne Borough's goals have been scored at home.
- ●90% of Eastbourne Borough's points have been earned at home.
- ●Eastbourne Borough have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Welling United- ●Welling United have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Welling United have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Welling United have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●69% of Welling United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●89% of Welling United's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●80% of Welling United's points have been earned at home.
- ●Welling United have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Eastbourne BoroughWHCheshunt3–0
Cheshunt3–0LALewes0–1
Lewes0–1LHLeatherhead0–1
Leatherhead0–1LACray Wanderers1–2
Cray Wanderers1–2WHBrentwood Town3–2
Brentwood Town3–2WHThree Bridges3–2
Three Bridges3–2–HChatham Town15/09
Chatham Town15/09–HStanway Rovers03/10
Stanway Rovers03/10–ACarshalton Athletic05/10
Carshalton Athletic05/10Welling UnitedWHWingate & Finchley4–1
Wingate & Finchley4–1LACray Wanderers1–4
Cray Wanderers1–4WHRamsgate1–0
Ramsgate1–0WADartford3–0
Dartford3–0WHStanway Rovers4–0
Stanway Rovers4–0LALeatherhead1–4
Leatherhead1–4–HCheshunt15/09
Cheshunt15/09–HWhyteleafe03/10
Whyteleafe03/10–AMaldon & Tiptree06/10
Maldon & Tiptree06/10Top Scorers
Eastbourne BoroughK. Corbett5 ⚽
J. Rees3 ⚽
L. Nash2 ⚽
T. Egbri2 ⚽
G. Phillips1 ⚽
T. Wilson1 ⚽
Welling UnitedN. Melvin-Lambert4 ⚽
R. Kingsford3 ⚽
D. Anyadike2 ⚽
A. Azeez2 ⚽
J. Ufuah1 ⚽
J. Reynolds1 ⚽
Cards Given
Eastbourne BoroughE. Johnson2 🟨
Welling UnitedL. Majoyegbe2 🟨