Farnham Town vs Ebbsfleet United — National League - South
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Farnham Town and Ebbsfleet United meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Farnham Town have recorded 10 wins from 22 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.73 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Ebbsfleet United have won 48% of their 23 matches, with 1.91 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Farnham Town and 1.55 for Ebbsfleet United. The models give Farnham Town a 37% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Ebbsfleet United win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Farnham Town—
Ebbsfleet United5º
Position
3º
1.73
PPG
2.15
53%
Win %
62%
1.93
Goals / game
2.23
1.27
Conceded / game
0.77
64%
BTTS %
61%
23%
Clean sheet %
30%
64%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Farnham Town
Home (7)
—
Ebbsfleet United
Away (6)
1.43
PPG
2.17
43%
Win %
67%
2.29
Goals / game
1.67
1.57
Conceded / game
1.00
64%
BTTS %
58%
27%
Clean sheet %
25%
64%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Farnham Town | Home | Away | Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 91% | 82% | 83% | 91% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 55% | 55% | 50% | 36% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 18% | 9% | 33% | 27% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 9% | 18% | 17% | 9% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Farnham Town | Home | Away | Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 73% | 82% | 67% | 64% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 45% | 45% | 33% | 36% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 0% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 27% | 18% | 33% | 36% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Farnham Town | Ebbsfleet United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 21% |
| BTTS | 64% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Farnham Town | Ebbsfleet United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Farnham Town (H)W
Braintree6–0
Braintree6–0L
Salisbury1–2
Salisbury1–2D
Truro City2–2
Truro City2–2W
Weston-super-Mare3–2
Weston-super-Mare3–2L
Cirencester Town1–2
Cirencester Town1–2W
Torquay2–0
Torquay2–0Ebbsfleet United (A)W
Farnborough6–0
Farnborough6–0LTruro City0–3
Truro City0–3W
Maidstone Utd3–1
Maidstone Utd3–1W
Hampton & Richmond2–0
Hampton & Richmond2–0D
Slough Town1–1
Slough Town1–1W
Tonbridge Angels2–1
Tonbridge Angels2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truro City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 30 |
| 2 | Maidstone Utd | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +8 | 29 |
| 3 | Ebbsfleet United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +19 | 28 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 28 |
| 5 | Farnham Town | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +10 | 26 |
| 6 |  Billericay Town | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +16 | 25 |
| 7 | Tonbridge Angels | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +11 | 24 |
| 8 |  Dorking Wanderers | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | +10 | 24 |
| 9 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 24 |
| 10 |  Horsham | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | +5 | 22 |
| 11 |  Dover | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 22 |
| 12 |  Chelmsford City | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 13 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +5 | 20 |
| 14 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 20 |
| 15 | Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 18 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 17 |
| 17 | Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -13 | 16 |
| 18 |  AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 19 |  Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 15 |
| 21 |  Chesham United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 11 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -17 | 9 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -23 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -24 | 4 |
Team Insights
Farnham Town- ●Farnham Town have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Farnham Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Farnham Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Farnham Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Farnham Town have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Farnham Town have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of Farnham Town's points have been earned away.
- ●Farnham Town have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Ebbsfleet United- ●Ebbsfleet United have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
Farnham TownWAChelmsford City2–0
Chelmsford City2–0LADover0–1
Dover0–1WAChesham United4–2
Chesham United4–2WHBraintree6–0
Braintree6–0LHSalisbury1–2
Salisbury1–2DHTruro City2–2
Truro City2–2–HTonbridge Angels07/11
Tonbridge Angels07/11–AMaidstone Utd21/11
Maidstone Utd21/11–HMaidenhead24/11
Maidenhead24/11Ebbsfleet UnitedWAFarnborough6–0
Farnborough6–0LATruro City0–3
Truro City0–3WAMaidstone Utd3–1
Maidstone Utd3–1WHMaidenhead4–0
Maidenhead4–0DHHorsham2–2
Horsham2–2WHWeston-super-Mare6–1
Weston-super-Mare6–1–HChesham United07/11
Chesham United07/11–AChelmsford City09/11
Chelmsford City09/11–ADorking Wanderers21/11
Dorking Wanderers21/11Top Scorers
Farnham TownD. Sanders7 ⚽
R. Bingham6 ⚽
G. Alexander6 ⚽
O. Dean5 ⚽
S. Evans3 ⚽
B. Clifford2 ⚽
Ebbsfleet UnitedD. Ogunleye6 ⚽
F. Barnes6 ⚽
K. Appiah5 ⚽
B. Chapman5 ⚽
C. Seaman4 ⚽
G. Kennedy3 ⚽
Cards Given
Farnham TownEbbsfleet UnitedC. Gbadebo2 🟨
J. Vennings1 🟨