Horsham vs Truro City — National League - South
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Horsham and Truro City meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 24 November 2026. Horsham have recorded 7 wins from 19 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.32 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Truro City have won 62% of their 21 matches, with 1.81 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Horsham and 1.41 for Truro City. The models give Horsham a 33% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Truro City win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Horsham—
Truro City13º
Position
3º
1.38
PPG
2.00
31%
Win %
58%
1.15
Goals / game
1.75
1.15
Conceded / game
0.92
58%
BTTS %
43%
32%
Clean sheet %
38%
58%
Over 2.5 %
48%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Horsham
Home (7)
—
Truro City
Away (7)
1.14
PPG
2.00
29%
Win %
57%
1.00
Goals / game
1.71
1.29
Conceded / game
1.14
56%
BTTS %
56%
44%
Clean sheet %
22%
56%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Horsham | Home | Away | Truro City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 89% | 70% | 76% | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 33% | 40% | 62% | 67% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 22% | 10% | 29% | 42% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 11% | 30% | 24% | 17% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Horsham | Home | Away | Truro City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 56% | 80% | 62% | 50% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 44% | 40% | 10% | 0% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 44% | 20% | 38% | 50% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Horsham | Truro City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 16% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 10% |
| BTTS | 58% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Horsham | Truro City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 47% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Horsham (H)W
Walton & Hersham1–0
Walton & Hersham1–0L
Maidstone Utd1–2
Maidstone Utd1–2L
Chesham United1–4
Chesham United1–4D
Dagenham & Redbridge1–1
Dagenham & Redbridge1–1L
Farnham Town1–2
Farnham Town1–2W
Hampton & Richmond2–0
Hampton & Richmond2–0Truro City (A)WHampton & Richmond4–3
Hampton & Richmond4–3L
Sutton Utd0–1
Sutton Utd0–1W
Braintree2–1
Braintree2–1DFarnham Town2–2
Farnham Town2–2WMaidstone Utd2–1
Maidstone Utd2–1D
Merthyr Town1–1
Merthyr Town1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 |
| 2 |  Ebbsfleet United | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 25 |
| 3 | Truro City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 7 |  Tonbridge Angels | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 21 |
| 8 |  Dorking Wanderers | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 | Farnham Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 20 |
| 10 |  Folkestone Invicta | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 11 |  Dover | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 |  Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 | Horsham | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 |  Chelmsford City | 11 | 2 | 9 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 19 |  AFC Totton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 | Chesham United | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 4 |
Team Insights
Horsham- ●Horsham have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Horsham have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Horsham have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Horsham failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Truro City- ●Truro City have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Truro City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Truro City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Truro City have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Truro City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Truro City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Truro City have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●73% of Truro City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Truro City have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
HorshamWHWalton & Hersham1–0
Walton & Hersham1–0DAEbbsfleet United2–2
Ebbsfleet United2–2WASlough Town2–1
Slough Town2–1LHMaidstone Utd1–2
Maidstone Utd1–2DAChelmsford City0–0
Chelmsford City0–0LHChesham United1–4
Chesham United1–4–AMaidenhead27/10
Maidenhead27/10–AFarnborough31/10
Farnborough31/10–HAFC Totton07/11
AFC Totton07/11Truro CityWAHampton & Richmond4–3
Hampton & Richmond4–3WABraintree2–1
Braintree2–1DAFarnham Town2–2
Farnham Town2–2WAMaidstone Utd2–1
Maidstone Utd2–1LHSalisbury0–1
Salisbury0–1DHWalton & Hersham1–1
Walton & Hersham1–1–HSlough Town27/10
Slough Town27/10–HEbbsfleet United31/10
Ebbsfleet United31/10–AFolkestone Invicta07/11
Folkestone Invicta07/11Top Scorers
HorshamG. Luer4 ⚽
C. Hester-Cook3 ⚽
A. Nadesan3 ⚽
J. Yila3 ⚽
L. Rodrigues2 ⚽
Trialist D1 ⚽
Truro CityT. Harvey9 ⚽
B. Starkie4 ⚽
W. Dean3 ⚽
J. Stretton3 ⚽
M. Kinsey3 ⚽
L. Jephcott2 ⚽
Cards Given
HorshamM. Haigh1 🟨
1 🟨
Truro CityB. Starkie1 🟨
H. Greenslade1 🟨
M. Kinsey1 🟨
O. Bogle1 🟨
T. Dean1 🟨