Truro City vs Hemel Hempstead Town — National League - South
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Truro City and Hemel Hempstead Town meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Truro City have recorded 13 wins from 21 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 1.81 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Hemel Hempstead Town have won 17% of their 18 matches, with 0.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 28%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Truro City and 0.98 for Hemel Hempstead Town. The models give Truro City a 47% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Hemel Hempstead Town win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Truro City—
Hemel Hempstead Town3º
Position
16º
2.00
PPG
1.08
58%
Win %
23%
1.75
Goals / game
0.85
0.92
Conceded / game
1.08
43%
BTTS %
56%
38%
Clean sheet %
22%
48%
Over 2.5 %
28%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Truro City
Home (5)
—
Hemel Hempstead Town
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
1.57
60%
Win %
43%
1.80
Goals / game
0.86
0.60
Conceded / game
0.57
33%
BTTS %
30%
50%
Clean sheet %
40%
50%
Over 2.5 %
20%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Truro City | Home | Away | Hemel Hempstead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 83% | 67% | 67% | 88% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 67% | 56% | 17% | 0% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 42% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 13% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Truro City | Home | Away | Hemel Hempstead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 50% | 78% | 78% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 22% | 28% | 38% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 11% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 50% | 22% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Truro City | Hemel Hempstead | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 28% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS | 43% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 28% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Truro City | Hemel Hempstead | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Truro City (H)W
Birmingham City U213–0
Birmingham City U213–0W
Cirencester Town4–0
Cirencester Town4–0W
Merthyr Town2–0
Merthyr Town2–0L
Salisbury0–1
Salisbury0–1D
Walton & Hersham1–1
Walton & Hersham1–1W
Leicester City U214–1
Leicester City U214–1Hemel Hempstead (A)L
Tonbridge Angels0–1
Tonbridge Angels0–1D
Dagenham & Redbridge0–0
Dagenham & Redbridge0–0W
Slough Town2–0
Slough Town2–0L
Wingate & Finchley1–2
Wingate & Finchley1–2D
Ebbsfleet United0–0
Ebbsfleet United0–0L
Folkestone Invicta0–2
Folkestone Invicta0–2Head to Head · 5 matches
1
Truro City
20%
1
Draws
20%
3
Hemel Hempstead
60%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
0%
Over 3.5
0/5
20%
BTTS
1/5
25/01/25Truro City
Hemel Hempstead Town
3–0Truro City05/10/24Hemel Hempstead Town
Truro City
1–0Hemel Hempstead Town04/04/24Hemel Hempstead Town
Truro City
0–2Hemel Hempstead Town02/09/23Truro City
Hemel Hempstead Town
0–0Truro City29/11/14Hemel Hempstead Town
Truro City
1–2Hemel Hempstead Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 |
| 2 | Ebbsfleet United | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 25 |
| 3 | Truro City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | Salisbury | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 7 | Tonbridge Angels | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 21 |
| 8 |  Dorking Wanderers | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Farnham Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 20 |
| 10 | Folkestone Invicta | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 11 |  Dover | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 |  Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 |  Horsham | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 |  Chelmsford City | 11 | 2 | 9 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 19 |  AFC Totton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 |  Chesham United | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 10 |
| 21 |  Braintree | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 10 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 4 |
Team Insights
Truro City- ●Truro City have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Truro City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Truro City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Truro City have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Truro City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Truro City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Truro City have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●73% of Truro City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Truro City have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Hemel Hempstead- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Hemel Hempstead Town's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●79% of Hemel Hempstead Town's points have been earned away.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Hemel Hempstead Town have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Truro CityWAHampton & Richmond4–3
Hampton & Richmond4–3WABraintree2–1
Braintree2–1DAFarnham Town2–2
Farnham Town2–2WAMaidstone Utd2–1
Maidstone Utd2–1LHSalisbury0–1
Salisbury0–1DHWalton & Hersham1–1
Walton & Hersham1–1–HSlough Town27/10
Slough Town27/10–HEbbsfleet United31/10
Ebbsfleet United31/10–AFolkestone Invicta07/11
Folkestone Invicta07/11Hemel HempsteadLHAFC Totton1–3
AFC Totton1–3LATonbridge Angels0–1
Tonbridge Angels0–1DADagenham & Redbridge0–0
Dagenham & Redbridge0–0WASlough Town2–0
Slough Town2–0DHTonbridge Angels1–1
Tonbridge Angels1–1DAEbbsfleet United0–0
Ebbsfleet United0–0–ADorking Wanderers27/10
Dorking Wanderers27/10–ABillericay Town31/10
Billericay Town31/10–HMaidstone Utd07/11
Maidstone Utd07/11Top Scorers
Truro CityT. Harvey9 ⚽
B. Starkie4 ⚽
W. Dean3 ⚽
J. Stretton3 ⚽
M. Kinsey3 ⚽
L. Jephcott2 ⚽
Hemel HempsteadR. Campbell4 ⚽
D. Longe-King1 ⚽
H. Panayiotou1 ⚽
J. Steele1 ⚽
L. Angol1 ⚽
M. Francis1 ⚽
Cards Given
Truro CityB. Starkie1 🟨
H. Greenslade1 🟨
M. Kinsey1 🟨
O. Bogle1 🟨
T. Dean1 🟨
Hemel HempsteadM. Francis1 🟨