Horsham vs AFC Totton — National League - South
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Horsham and AFC Totton meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Horsham have recorded 7 wins from 19 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.32 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. AFC Totton have won 27% of their 15 matches, with 0.93 goals scored and 1.87 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Horsham and 1.21 for AFC Totton. The models give Horsham a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an AFC Totton win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Horsham—
AFC Totton13º
Position
19º
1.38
PPG
1.00
31%
Win %
31%
1.15
Goals / game
0.92
1.15
Conceded / game
1.85
58%
BTTS %
40%
32%
Clean sheet %
13%
58%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Horsham
Home (7)
—
AFC Totton
Away (7)
1.14
PPG
1.00
29%
Win %
29%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.29
Conceded / game
2.00
56%
BTTS %
57%
44%
Clean sheet %
14%
56%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Horsham | Home | Away | AFC Totton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 89% | 70% | 53% | 38% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 33% | 40% | 20% | 25% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 22% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 11% | 30% | 47% | 63% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Horsham | Home | Away | AFC Totton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 56% | 80% | 87% | 88% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 44% | 40% | 53% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 11% | 10% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 44% | 20% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Horsham | AFC Totton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 16% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 13% |
| BTTS | 58% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Horsham | AFC Totton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 47% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 27% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Horsham (H)W
Walton & Hersham1–0
Walton & Hersham1–0L
Maidstone Utd1–2
Maidstone Utd1–2L
Chesham United1–4
Chesham United1–4D
Dagenham & Redbridge1–1
Dagenham & Redbridge1–1L
Farnham Town1–2
Farnham Town1–2W
Hampton & Richmond2–0
Hampton & Richmond2–0AFC Totton (A)W
Hemel Hempstead Town3–1
Hemel Hempstead Town3–1L
Folkestone Invicta1–2
Folkestone Invicta1–2L
Ebbsfleet United0–5
Ebbsfleet United0–5L
Dover0–2
Dover0–2L
Weston-super-Mare1–3
Weston-super-Mare1–3D
Maidenhead1–1
Maidenhead1–1Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Horsham
33%
0
Draws
0%
2
AFC Totton
67%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
0%
BTTS
0/3
07/03/26Horsham
AFC Totton
3–0Horsham20/09/25AFC Totton
Horsham
0–2AFC Totton09/12/23AFC Totton
Horsham
2–0AFC Totton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 |
| 2 | Ebbsfleet United | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 25 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 7 |  Tonbridge Angels | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 21 |
| 8 |  Dorking Wanderers | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 | Farnham Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 20 |
| 10 | Folkestone Invicta | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 11 | Dover | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 | Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 | Horsham | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 |  Chelmsford City | 11 | 2 | 9 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 |
| 18 | Maidenhead | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 | Chesham United | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 10 |
| 21 |  Braintree | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 4 |
Team Insights
Horsham- ●Horsham have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Horsham have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Horsham have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Horsham failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
AFC Totton- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Totton have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●AFC Totton have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
HorshamWHWalton & Hersham1–0
Walton & Hersham1–0DAEbbsfleet United2–2
Ebbsfleet United2–2WASlough Town2–1
Slough Town2–1LHMaidstone Utd1–2
Maidstone Utd1–2DAChelmsford City0–0
Chelmsford City0–0LHChesham United1–4
Chesham United1–4–AMaidenhead27/10
Maidenhead27/10–AFarnborough31/10
Farnborough31/10–HAFC Totton07/11
AFC Totton07/11AFC TottonWAHemel Hempstead Town3–1
Hemel Hempstead Town3–1LAFolkestone Invicta1–2
Folkestone Invicta1–2LAEbbsfleet United0–5
Ebbsfleet United0–5LHWalton & Hersham0–1
Walton & Hersham0–1LADover0–2
Dover0–2LHSlough Town0–1
Slough Town0–1–HTorquay27/10
Torquay27/10–HChelmsford City31/10
Chelmsford City31/10–AHorsham07/11
Horsham07/11Top Scorers
HorshamG. Luer4 ⚽
C. Hester-Cook3 ⚽
A. Nadesan3 ⚽
J. Yila3 ⚽
L. Rodrigues2 ⚽
Trialist D1 ⚽
AFC TottonE. Ikpeama2 ⚽
T. Lee2 ⚽
J. Sims2 ⚽
O. Godziemski1 ⚽
T. Cordner1 ⚽
C. Ward1 ⚽
Cards Given
HorshamM. Haigh1 🟨
1 🟨
AFC TottonM. Chandler1 🟨