Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United — National League - South
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Ebbsfleet United and Chesham United meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Ebbsfleet United have recorded 10 wins from 21 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.95 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Chesham United have won 33% of their 18 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.07 for Ebbsfleet United and 1.20 for Chesham United. The models give Ebbsfleet United a 61% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Chesham United win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | Chesham United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 91% | 80% | 61% | 63% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 36% | 60% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 27% | 30% | 28% | 25% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 9% | 20% | 39% | 38% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | Chesham United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 64% | 70% | 83% | 75% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 36% | 30% | 72% | 75% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 10% | 39% | 38% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 36% | 30% | 17% | 25% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ebbsfleet United | Chesham United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 39% |
| BTTS | 62% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 28% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ebbsfleet United | Chesham United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 61% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Ebbsfleet United | Chesham United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 25 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 24 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 21 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 | |
| 9 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 | |
| 12 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 | |
| 14 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 17 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 0 | +6 | 15 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 | |
| 17 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 | |
| 19 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 13 | |
| 20 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 10 | |
| 21 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 10 | |
| 22 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 | |
| 23 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 | |
| 24 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Ebbsfleet United have been undefeated in their last 11 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●73% of Ebbsfleet United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Chesham United have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Chesham United have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Chesham United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Chesham United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Chesham United have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chesham United have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Chesham United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Chesham United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chesham United have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●69% of Chesham United's goals have been scored away.
- ●60% of Chesham United's points have been earned away.
- ●Chesham United have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.