Chelmsford City vs Farnborough — National League - South
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Chelmsford City and Farnborough meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Chelmsford City have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Farnborough have won 35% of their 20 matches, with 1.10 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Chelmsford City and 1.14 for Farnborough. The models give Chelmsford City a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Farnborough win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Chelmsford City—
Farnborough15º
Position
17º
1.36
PPG
1.17
18%
Win %
33%
1.55
Goals / game
0.83
1.00
Conceded / game
1.58
50%
BTTS %
40%
44%
Clean sheet %
25%
25%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chelmsford City
Home (5)
—
Farnborough
Away (7)
1.40
PPG
1.14
20%
Win %
29%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.80
Conceded / game
1.71
40%
BTTS %
55%
60%
Clean sheet %
18%
20%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chelmsford City | Home | Away | Farnborough | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 60% | 91% | 65% | 56% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 20% | 36% | 35% | 22% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 20% | 27% | 10% | 11% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 40% | 9% | 35% | 44% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Chelmsford City | Home | Away | Farnborough | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 40% | 64% | 75% | 67% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 20% | 9% | 50% | 44% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 20% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 60% | 36% | 25% | 33% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chelmsford City | Farnborough | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 44% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 19% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chelmsford City | Farnborough | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 53% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 26% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 19% | 68% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Chelmsford City (H)D
Tonbridge Angels3–3
Tonbridge Angels3–3D
Horsham0–0
Horsham0–0D
Salisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1W
Maidenhead1–0
Maidenhead1–0D
Truro City0–0
Truro City0–0L
Eastbourne Borough1–3
Eastbourne Borough1–3Farnborough (A)L
Folkestone Invicta0–2
Folkestone Invicta0–2L
Billericay Town0–4
Billericay Town0–4D
Walton & Hersham2–2
Walton & Hersham2–2D
Uxbridge2–2
Uxbridge2–2L
Hampton & Richmond0–2
Hampton & Richmond0–2W
Braintree2–0
Braintree2–0Head to Head · 8 matches
4
Chelmsford City
50%
1
Draws
13%
3
Farnborough
38%
75%
Over 1.5
6/8
63%
Over 2.5
5/8
50%
Over 3.5
4/8
75%
BTTS
6/8
25/03/26Chelmsford City
Farnborough
4–2Chelmsford City01/09/25Farnborough
Chelmsford City
2–5Farnborough08/02/25Chelmsford City
Farnborough
3–4Chelmsford City19/10/24Farnborough
Chelmsford City
1–2Farnborough27/02/24Chelmsford City
Farnborough
1–1Chelmsford City05/08/23Farnborough
Chelmsford City
1–0Farnborough07/04/23Farnborough
Chelmsford City
3–2Farnborough27/09/22Chelmsford City
Farnborough
0–1Chelmsford City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 |
| 2 |  Ebbsfleet United | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 25 |
| 3 | Truro City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | Salisbury | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 | Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 7 | Tonbridge Angels | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 21 |
| 8 |  Dorking Wanderers | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Farnham Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 20 |
| 10 | Folkestone Invicta | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 11 |  Dover | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 |  Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 | Horsham | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 | Chelmsford City | 11 | 2 | 9 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Farnborough | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 |
| 18 | Maidenhead | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 19 |  AFC Totton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 |  Chesham United | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 4 |
Team Insights
Chelmsford City- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 11 matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Chelmsford City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Chelmsford City's goals have been scored away.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored 76% of their goals in the first half.
Farnborough- ●Farnborough have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Farnborough have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Farnborough failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●70% of Farnborough's goals have been scored away.
- ●Farnborough have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Chelmsford CityDHTonbridge Angels3–3
Tonbridge Angels3–3WAChesham United5–0
Chesham United5–0DHHorsham0–0
Horsham0–0DAHampton & Richmond1–1
Hampton & Richmond1–1DADorking Wanderers3–3
Dorking Wanderers3–3DHSalisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1–ADover27/10
Dover27/10–AAFC Totton31/10
AFC Totton31/10–HFarnham Town02/11
Farnham Town02/11FarnboroughLAFolkestone Invicta0–2
Folkestone Invicta0–2WHDagenham & Redbridge2–0
Dagenham & Redbridge2–0LABillericay Town0–4
Billericay Town0–4DAWalton & Hersham2–2
Walton & Hersham2–2LHDover0–1
Dover0–1LAHampton & Richmond0–2
Hampton & Richmond0–2–HWeston-super-Mare28/10
Weston-super-Mare28/10–HHorsham31/10
Horsham31/10–HEbbsfleet United03/11
Ebbsfleet United03/11Top Scorers
Chelmsford CityG. Alexander4 ⚽
H. Barbrook3 ⚽
L. Sery3 ⚽
A. May2 ⚽
C. Cooper2 ⚽
R. Browne2 ⚽
FarnboroughS. Barratt3 ⚽
T. Frost3 ⚽
M. Bloomfield3 ⚽
O. Dewsbury2 ⚽
R. Smith1 ⚽
A. Whittle1 ⚽
Cards Given
Chelmsford CityLyle Taylor1 🟨
1 🟨
FarnboroughS. Okoye1 🟨