Truro City vs Ebbsfleet United — National League - South
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Truro City and Ebbsfleet United meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Truro City have recorded 13 wins from 21 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 1.81 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Ebbsfleet United have won 48% of their 21 matches, with 1.95 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Truro City and 1.25 for Ebbsfleet United. The models give Truro City a 39% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Ebbsfleet United win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Truro City—
Ebbsfleet United3º
Position
2º
2.00
PPG
2.27
58%
Win %
64%
1.75
Goals / game
2.36
0.92
Conceded / game
0.55
43%
BTTS %
62%
38%
Clean sheet %
33%
48%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Truro City
Home (5)
—
Ebbsfleet United
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
2.50
60%
Win %
75%
1.80
Goals / game
1.75
0.60
Conceded / game
0.50
33%
BTTS %
60%
50%
Clean sheet %
30%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Truro City | Home | Away | Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 83% | 67% | 86% | 91% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 67% | 56% | 48% | 36% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 42% | 11% | 29% | 27% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 17% | 33% | 14% | 9% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Truro City | Home | Away | Ebbsfleet United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 50% | 78% | 67% | 64% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 22% | 33% | 36% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 11% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 50% | 22% | 33% | 36% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Truro City | Ebbsfleet United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 19% |
| BTTS | 43% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Truro City | Ebbsfleet United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Truro City (H)W
Birmingham City U213–0
Birmingham City U213–0W
Cirencester Town4–0
Cirencester Town4–0W
Merthyr Town2–0
Merthyr Town2–0L
Salisbury0–1
Salisbury0–1D
Walton & Hersham1–1
Walton & Hersham1–1W
Leicester City U214–1
Leicester City U214–1Ebbsfleet United (A)W
Hampton & Richmond2–0
Hampton & Richmond2–0D
Slough Town1–1
Slough Town1–1W
Tonbridge Angels2–1
Tonbridge Angels2–1W
Maidenhead3–1
Maidenhead3–1WWalton & Hersham2–0
Walton & Hersham2–0W
Cray Valley PM3–2
Cray Valley PM3–2Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Truro City
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Ebbsfleet United
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
10/12/11Ebbsfleet United
Truro City
2–5Ebbsfleet United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 |
| 2 | Ebbsfleet United | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 25 |
| 3 | Truro City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | Salisbury | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 7 | Tonbridge Angels | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 21 |
| 8 |  Dorking Wanderers | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Farnham Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 20 |
| 10 |  Folkestone Invicta | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 11 |  Dover | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 |  Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 |  Horsham | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 |  Chelmsford City | 11 | 2 | 9 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 |
| 18 | Maidenhead | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 19 |  AFC Totton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 |  Chesham United | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 10 |
| 21 |  Braintree | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 4 |
Team Insights
Truro City- ●Truro City have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Truro City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Truro City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Truro City have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Truro City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Truro City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Truro City have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Truro City have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●73% of Truro City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Truro City have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Ebbsfleet United- ●Ebbsfleet United have been undefeated in their last 11 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ebbsfleet United have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●73% of Ebbsfleet United's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Truro CityWAHampton & Richmond4–3
Hampton & Richmond4–3WABraintree2–1
Braintree2–1DAFarnham Town2–2
Farnham Town2–2WAMaidstone Utd2–1
Maidstone Utd2–1LHSalisbury0–1
Salisbury0–1DHWalton & Hersham1–1
Walton & Hersham1–1–HSlough Town27/10
Slough Town27/10–HEbbsfleet United31/10
Ebbsfleet United31/10–AFolkestone Invicta07/11
Folkestone Invicta07/11Ebbsfleet UnitedWHMaidenhead4–0
Maidenhead4–0DHHorsham2–2
Horsham2–2WHWeston-super-Mare6–1
Weston-super-Mare6–1WHAFC Totton5–0
AFC Totton5–0WAHampton & Richmond2–0
Hampton & Richmond2–0WHFolkestone Invicta1–0
Folkestone Invicta1–0–AMaidstone Utd27/10
Maidstone Utd27/10–ATruro City31/10
Truro City31/10–AFarnborough03/11
Farnborough03/11Top Scorers
Truro CityT. Harvey9 ⚽
B. Starkie4 ⚽
W. Dean3 ⚽
J. Stretton3 ⚽
M. Kinsey3 ⚽
L. Jephcott2 ⚽
Ebbsfleet UnitedK. Appiah5 ⚽
D. Ogunleye5 ⚽
B. Chapman5 ⚽
F. Barnes4 ⚽
G. Kennedy3 ⚽
C. Seaman2 ⚽
Cards Given
Truro CityB. Starkie1 🟨
H. Greenslade1 🟨
M. Kinsey1 🟨
O. Bogle1 🟨
T. Dean1 🟨
Ebbsfleet United