AFC Totton vs Chelmsford City — National League - South
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AFC Totton and Chelmsford City meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 31 October 2026. AFC Totton have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.93 goals scored and 1.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Chelmsford City have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for AFC Totton and 1.69 for Chelmsford City. The models give AFC Totton a 27% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Chelmsford City win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
AFC Totton—
Chelmsford City19º
Position
15º
1.00
PPG
1.36
31%
Win %
18%
0.92
Goals / game
1.55
1.85
Conceded / game
1.00
40%
BTTS %
50%
13%
Clean sheet %
44%
53%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
AFC Totton
Home (6)
—
Chelmsford City
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
17%
0.83
Goals / game
2.00
1.67
Conceded / game
1.17
25%
BTTS %
55%
13%
Clean sheet %
36%
50%
Over 2.5 %
27%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| AFC Totton | Home | Away | Chelmsford City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 53% | 38% | 71% | 81% | 60% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 14% | 31% | 20% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 13% | 14% | 25% | 20% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 47% | 63% | 29% | 19% | 40% | 9% |
Goals Conceded
| AFC Totton | Home | Away | Chelmsford City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 88% | 86% | 56% | 40% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 50% | 57% | 13% | 20% | 9% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 25% | 29% | 13% | 20% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 13% | 14% | 44% | 60% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AFC Totton | Chelmsford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 19% |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 44% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 19% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AFC Totton | Chelmsford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 19% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
AFC Totton (H)L
Walton & Hersham0–1
Walton & Hersham0–1L
Gloucester City0–2
Gloucester City0–2L
Slough Town0–1
Slough Town0–1W
Hampton & Richmond4–1
Hampton & Richmond4–1L
Chesham United0–4
Chesham United0–4L
Dorking Wanderers0–3
Dorking Wanderers0–3Chelmsford City (A)L
Wimborne Town0–1
Wimborne Town0–1WChesham United5–0
Chesham United5–0W
Brackley Town2–0
Brackley Town2–0W
Canvey Island1–0
Canvey Island1–0DHampton & Richmond1–1
Hampton & Richmond1–1DDorking Wanderers3–3
Dorking Wanderers3–3Head to Head · 2 matches
1
AFC Totton
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Chelmsford City
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
30/03/26AFC Totton
Chelmsford City
1–1AFC Totton25/10/25Chelmsford City
AFC Totton
2–1Chelmsford City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 |
| 2 |  Ebbsfleet United | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 25 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 7 |  Tonbridge Angels | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 21 |
| 8 | Dorking Wanderers | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Farnham Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 20 |
| 10 |  Folkestone Invicta | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 11 |  Dover | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 |  Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 |  Horsham | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 | Chelmsford City | 11 | 2 | 9 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 | Chesham United | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 10 |
| 21 |  Braintree | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 4 |
Team Insights
AFC Totton- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Totton have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Totton failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●AFC Totton have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
Chelmsford City- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 11 matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Chelmsford City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Chelmsford City's goals have been scored away.
- ●Chelmsford City have scored 76% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AFC TottonWAHemel Hempstead Town3–1
Hemel Hempstead Town3–1LAFolkestone Invicta1–2
Folkestone Invicta1–2LAEbbsfleet United0–5
Ebbsfleet United0–5LHWalton & Hersham0–1
Walton & Hersham0–1LADover0–2
Dover0–2LHSlough Town0–1
Slough Town0–1–HTorquay27/10
Torquay27/10–HChelmsford City31/10
Chelmsford City31/10–AHorsham07/11
Horsham07/11Chelmsford CityDHTonbridge Angels3–3
Tonbridge Angels3–3WAChesham United5–0
Chesham United5–0DHHorsham0–0
Horsham0–0DAHampton & Richmond1–1
Hampton & Richmond1–1DADorking Wanderers3–3
Dorking Wanderers3–3DHSalisbury1–1
Salisbury1–1–ADover27/10
Dover27/10–AAFC Totton31/10
AFC Totton31/10–HFarnham Town02/11
Farnham Town02/11Top Scorers
AFC TottonE. Ikpeama2 ⚽
T. Lee2 ⚽
J. Sims2 ⚽
O. Godziemski1 ⚽
T. Cordner1 ⚽
C. Ward1 ⚽
Chelmsford CityG. Alexander4 ⚽
H. Barbrook3 ⚽
L. Sery3 ⚽
A. May2 ⚽
C. Cooper2 ⚽
R. Browne2 ⚽
Cards Given
AFC TottonM. Chandler1 🟨
Chelmsford CityLyle Taylor1 🟨
1 🟨