Maidenhead vs Horsham — National League - South
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Maidenhead and Horsham meet in the National League - South 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Maidenhead have recorded 4 wins from 20 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Horsham have won 37% of their 19 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.15 for Maidenhead and 1.39 for Horsham. The models give Maidenhead a 37% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Horsham win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Maidenhead—
Horsham18º
Position
13º
1.00
PPG
1.38
23%
Win %
31%
1.00
Goals / game
1.15
1.38
Conceded / game
1.15
45%
BTTS %
58%
20%
Clean sheet %
32%
50%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Maidenhead
Home (6)
—
Horsham
Away (6)
0.67
PPG
1.67
0%
Win %
33%
0.67
Goals / game
1.33
1.50
Conceded / game
1.00
60%
BTTS %
60%
10%
Clean sheet %
20%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Maidenhead | Home | Away | Horsham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 79% | 89% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 10% | 30% | 37% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 0% | 30% | 16% | 22% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 40% | 40% | 21% | 11% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Maidenhead | Home | Away | Horsham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 90% | 70% | 68% | 56% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 50% | 30% | 42% | 44% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 40% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 10% | 30% | 32% | 44% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Maidenhead | Horsham | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 16% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 11% |
| BTTS | 45% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Maidenhead | Horsham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 35% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Maidenhead (H)L
Tonbridge Angels0–1
Tonbridge Angels0–1L
Ebbsfleet United1–3
Ebbsfleet United1–3D
Billericay Town2–2
Billericay Town2–2L
Torquay0–4
Torquay0–4D
AFC Totton1–1
AFC Totton1–1D
Farnborough1–1
Farnborough1–1Horsham (A)DEbbsfleet United2–2
Ebbsfleet United2–2W
Slough Town2–1
Slough Town2–1L
Plymouth Parkway1–2
Plymouth Parkway1–2D
Chelmsford City0–0
Chelmsford City0–0W
Walton & Hersham3–0
Walton & Hersham3–0D
Folkestone Invicta1–1
Folkestone Invicta1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Maidenhead
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Horsham
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
03/01/26Maidenhead
Horsham
1–2Maidenhead25/08/25Horsham
Maidenhead
2–1Horsham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 |
| 2 | Ebbsfleet United | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 25 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 | Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 7 | Tonbridge Angels | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 21 |
| 8 |  Dorking Wanderers | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Farnham Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 20 |
| 10 | Folkestone Invicta | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 11 |  Dover | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 |  Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 | Horsham | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 14 | Torquay | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 | Chelmsford City | 11 | 2 | 9 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Farnborough | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 |
| 18 | Maidenhead | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 |  Chesham United | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 10 |
| 21 |  Braintree | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 10 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 4 |
Team Insights
Maidenhead- ●Maidenhead have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Maidenhead have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Maidenhead have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Maidenhead failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Maidenhead have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Maidenhead failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Maidenhead have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Maidenhead have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●69% of Maidenhead's goals have been scored away.
- ●69% of Maidenhead's points have been earned away.
Horsham- ●Horsham have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Horsham have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Horsham have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Horsham failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Horsham have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
MaidenheadLAEbbsfleet United0–4
Ebbsfleet United0–4LAMaidstone Utd1–2
Maidstone Utd1–2LHTonbridge Angels0–1
Tonbridge Angels0–1WAChesham United4–0
Chesham United4–0DHBillericay Town2–2
Billericay Town2–2LHTorquay0–4
Torquay0–4–HHorsham27/10
Horsham27/10–HDagenham & Redbridge31/10
Dagenham & Redbridge31/10–AHampton & Richmond07/11
Hampton & Richmond07/11HorshamWHWalton & Hersham1–0
Walton & Hersham1–0DAEbbsfleet United2–2
Ebbsfleet United2–2WASlough Town2–1
Slough Town2–1LHMaidstone Utd1–2
Maidstone Utd1–2DAChelmsford City0–0
Chelmsford City0–0LHChesham United1–4
Chesham United1–4–AMaidenhead27/10
Maidenhead27/10–AFarnborough31/10
Farnborough31/10–HAFC Totton07/11
AFC Totton07/11Top Scorers
MaidenheadA. Pendlebury4 ⚽
J. Umerah3 ⚽
D. Nkrumah3 ⚽
J. Ragguette2 ⚽
C. Hall2 ⚽
Trialist1 ⚽
HorshamG. Luer4 ⚽
C. Hester-Cook3 ⚽
A. Nadesan3 ⚽
J. Yila3 ⚽
L. Rodrigues2 ⚽
Trialist D1 ⚽
Cards Given
MaidenheadG. David Abbott2 🟨
J. Coley1 🟨
J. Ragguette1 🟨
M. Achuba1 🟨
HorshamM. Haigh1 🟨
1 🟨