SK Poltava vs Yarud Mariupol' — Persha Liga
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SK Poltava and Yarud Mariupol' meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. SK Poltava have recorded 8 wins from 17 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Yarud Mariupol' have won 47% of their 19 matches, with 1.68 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for SK Poltava and 1.19 for Yarud Mariupol'. The models give SK Poltava a 40% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Yarud Mariupol' win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
SK Poltava—
Yarud Mariupol'2º
Position
3º
1.85
PPG
1.85
54%
Win %
54%
1.85
Goals / game
1.54
0.85
Conceded / game
1.00
47%
BTTS %
53%
47%
Clean sheet %
26%
65%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
SK Poltava
Home (6)
—
Yarud Mariupol'
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
2.17
50%
Win %
67%
1.83
Goals / game
1.67
0.50
Conceded / game
0.83
43%
BTTS %
55%
57%
Clean sheet %
36%
57%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| SK Poltava | Home | Away | Yarud Mariupol' | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 71% | 80% | 74% | 50% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 57% | 50% | 53% | 38% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 35% | 57% | 20% | 21% | 25% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 29% | 20% | 26% | 50% | 9% |
Goals Conceded
| SK Poltava | Home | Away | Yarud Mariupol' | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 43% | 60% | 74% | 88% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 14% | 40% | 21% | 25% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 0% | 20% | 11% | 13% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 57% | 40% | 26% | 13% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| SK Poltava | Yarud Mariupol' | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 16% |
| BTTS | 47% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| SK Poltava | Yarud Mariupol' | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 37% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 12% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 16% |
Recent Venue Form
SK Poltava (H)W
Prykarpattia4–0
Prykarpattia4–0W
Chernihiv3–2
Chernihiv3–2W
Metal Kharkiv3–0
Metal Kharkiv3–0D
Inhulets0–0
Inhulets0–0D
UCSA0–0
UCSA0–0D
Nyva Ternopil1–1
Nyva Ternopil1–1Yarud Mariupol' (A)WMetal Kharkiv2–0
Metal Kharkiv2–0WUCSA2–1
UCSA2–1D
Oleksandria1–1
Oleksandria1–1W
Probiy Horodenka2–0
Probiy Horodenka2–0W
Lokomotiv Kyiv3–1
Lokomotiv Kyiv3–1W
Dinaz Vyshhorod6–0
Dinaz Vyshhorod6–0Head to Head · 9 matches
5
SK Poltava
56%
2
Draws
22%
2
Yarud Mariupol'
22%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
22%
Over 3.5
2/9
33%
BTTS
3/9
09/08/26SK Poltava
Yarud Mariupol'
0–3SK Poltava17/11/24SK Poltava
Yarud Mariupol'
1–2SK Poltava22/09/24Yarud Mariupol'
SK Poltava
3–0Yarud Mariupol'16/10/23Yarud Mariupol'
SK Poltava
0–2Yarud Mariupol'11/08/23SK Poltava
Yarud Mariupol'
1–1SK Poltava13/05/23Yarud Mariupol'
SK Poltava
0–4Yarud Mariupol'15/04/23SK Poltava
Yarud Mariupol'
2–4SK Poltava21/11/21SK Poltava
Yarud Mariupol'
0–1SK Poltava14/08/21Yarud Mariupol'
SK Poltava
0–0Yarud Mariupol'| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 | SK Poltava | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 | Yarud Mariupol' | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 | Oleksandria | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 |  Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kulykiv | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +11 | 21 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Prykarpattia | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Nyva Ternopil | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | Metal Kharkiv | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 |  Kolos Kovalivka II | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | UCSA | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Chernihiv | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -20 | 9 |
| 16 |  Polissya II | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -9 | 8 |
Team Insights
SK Poltava- ●SK Poltava have won their last 2 matches.
- ●SK Poltava have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●SK Poltava have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●SK Poltava have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●SK Poltava have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●SK Poltava have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●SK Poltava have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●SK Poltava have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●SK Poltava have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●73% of SK Poltava's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●SK Poltava have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Yarud Mariupol'- ●Yarud Mariupol' have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Yarud Mariupol' have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
SK PoltavaWAPolissya II2–1
Polissya II2–1WHPrykarpattia4–0
Prykarpattia4–0LAProbiy Horodenka2–3
Probiy Horodenka2–3WHChernihiv3–2
Chernihiv3–2LAKulykiv1–2
Kulykiv1–2WHMetal Kharkiv3–0
Metal Kharkiv3–0–HViktoriya Mykolaivka31/10
Viktoriya Mykolaivka31/10–AOleksandria07/11
Oleksandria07/11–HAhrobiznes Volochysk14/11
Ahrobiznes Volochysk14/11Yarud Mariupol'WAMetal Kharkiv2–0
Metal Kharkiv2–0WHInhulets4–1
Inhulets4–1WAUCSA2–1
UCSA2–1DHNyva Ternopil0–0
Nyva Ternopil0–0DAOleksandria1–1
Oleksandria1–1WHPolissya II2–1
Polissya II2–1–AChernihiv01/11
Chernihiv01/11–APrykarpattia07/11
Prykarpattia07/11–AViktoriya Mykolaivka14/11
Viktoriya Mykolaivka14/11Top Scorers
SK PoltavaV. Sad7 ⚽
M. Kononov3 ⚽
D. Shcherbak2 ⚽
2 ⚽
D. Prikhna2 ⚽
S. Seytkhalilov2 ⚽
Yarud Mariupol'S. Kyslenko6 ⚽
A. Remenyak4 ⚽
N. Grytsak3 ⚽
V. Kucherov3 ⚽
V. Sydorenko2 ⚽
O. Synytsya2 ⚽
Cards Given
SK PoltavaM. Kononov5 🟨
V. Danylenko4 🟨
D. Blagodarnyi3 🟨
S. Seytkhalilov3 🟨
O. Veremiyenko2 🟨
D. Prikhna2 🟨
Yarud Mariupol'M. Podolyak4 🟨
N. Grytsak3 🟨
K. Tsyurpalevych-Semochko3 🟨
V. Sydorenko3 🟨
O. Nikolyshyn2 🟨
P. Orikhovskyi1 🟨