MatchPulse

Chernihiv vs Probiy Horodenka — Persha Liga

← Back
Ukraine · Persha Liga · Regular Season - 18
Chernihiv
Chernihiv
14º · 0.91 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 9h
vs
–
–
Probiy Horodenka
Probiy Horodenka
15º · 0.69 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 8h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free TrialUpgrade to Pro →

Chernihiv and Probiy Horodenka meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Chernihiv have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Probiy Horodenka have won 19% of their 16 matches, with 1.06 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Chernihiv and 1.04 for Probiy Horodenka. The models give Chernihiv a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Probiy Horodenka win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 55%.

Season Statistics

Chernihiv
—
Probiy Horodenka
14º
Position
15º
0.91
PPG
0.69
18%
Win %
15%
1.09
Goals / game
0.92
1.45
Conceded / game
2.46
73%
BTTS %
63%
13%
Clean sheet %
0%
53%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Chernihiv
Home (3)
—
Probiy Horodenka
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
0.50
33%
Win %
17%
1.33
Goals / game
0.83
1.00
Conceded / game
3.17
67%
BTTS %
63%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
33%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

ChernihivHomeAwayProbiy HorodenkaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored87%100%83%63%63%63%
Over 1.5 Scored40%33%42%31%25%38%
Over 2.5 Scored7%0%8%13%13%13%
Failed To Score13%0%17%38%38%38%

Goals Conceded

ChernihivHomeAwayProbiy HorodenkaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded87%67%92%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded53%33%58%69%63%75%
Over 2.5 Conceded20%0%25%38%13%63%
Clean Sheets13%33%8%0%0%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ChernihivProbiy Horodenka
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.580%100%
Over 2.553%63%
Over 3.533%44%
Over 4.527%25%
BTTS73%63%
BTTS & Win13%19%
BTTS & Draw27%25%
BTTS & Over 2.553%44%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%19%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ChernihivProbiy Horodenka
Win 1st Half21%6%
Draw 1st Half57%19%
Loss 1st Half21%75%
Scored 1st Half36%19%
Conceded 1st Half36%81%
Win 2nd Half21%31%
Draw 2nd Half29%19%
Loss 2nd Half50%50%
Scored 2nd Half64%56%
Conceded 2nd Half71%69%
Over 0.5 HT57%88%
Over 1.5 HT21%25%

Recent Venue Form

Chernihiv (H)
WNyva Ternopil1–0
DPolissya II2–2
DKulykiv1–1
LMetal Kharkiv1–2
LInhulets1–2
LDynamo Kyiv1–3
Probiy Horodenka (A)
LOleksandria0–2
WKulykiv2–1
LKolos Kovalivka II2–4
LAhrobiznes Volochysk0–6
WLokomotiv Kyiv3–1
LPrykarpattia0–3

Head to Head · 3 matches

1
Chernihiv
33%
1
Draws
33%
1
Probiy Horodenka
33%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
09/08/26
Probiy Horodenka
1–1
Chernihiv
09/12/25
Chernihiv
3–0
Probiy Horodenka
03/08/25
Probiy Horodenka
1–0
Chernihiv
Persha Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka13742+725
2SK Poltava13733+1324
3Yarud Mariupol'13733+724
4Oleksandria13652+823
5Ahrobiznes Volochysk12723+523
6Kulykiv12633+1121
7Lokomotiv Kyiv12453+217
8Prykarpattia13445-216
9Nyva Ternopil12363+215
10Metal Kharkiv13436-315
11Inhulets11425-514
12Kolos Kovalivka II12417-813
13UCSA12255-411
14Chernihiv11245-410
15Probiy Horodenka13238-209
16Polissya II13157-98

Team Insights

Chernihiv
  • ●Chernihiv have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Chernihiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●Chernihiv have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●Chernihiv have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●67% of Chernihiv's goals have been scored away.
  • ●81% of Chernihiv's goals conceded were conceded away.
Probiy Horodenka
  • ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
ChernihivChernihiv
LAViktoriya Mykolaivka1º1–2
WAPrykarpattia8º1–0
WATrostianets4–2
LASK Poltava2º2–3
LAMetal Kharkiv10º0–2
LAUCSA13º2–3
WHNyva Ternopil9º1–0
LAOleksandria4º0–1
WALSTM Lutsk2–1
DHPolissya II16º2–2
Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka
LAOleksandria4º0–2
DHPolissya II16º1–1
WHSK Poltava2º3–2
WAKulykiv6º2–1
LHLokomotiv Kyiv7º0–2
LAKolos Kovalivka II12º2–4
LHYarud Mariupol'3º0–2
DHOleksandria1–1
LAAhrobiznes Volochysk5º0–6
LHViktoriya Mykolaivka1º0–3

Season Schedule

Chernihiv
LAViktoriya Mykolaivka1–2
WAPrykarpattia1–0
LASK Poltava2–3
LAMetal Kharkiv0–2
LAUCSA2–3
WHNyva Ternopil1–0
–HYarud Mariupol'01/11
–HKolos Kovalivka II07/11
–HInhulets11/11
Probiy Horodenka
LAOleksandria0–2
DHPolissya II1–1
WHSK Poltava3–2
WAKulykiv2–1
LHLokomotiv Kyiv0–2
LAKolos Kovalivka II2–4
–HNyva Ternopil01/11
–AUCSA07/11
–AInhulets14/11

Top Scorers

Chernihiv
A. Novikov4 ⚽
Y. Shalfeev2 ⚽
S. Galoyan2 ⚽
M. Serdyuk2 ⚽
D. Bezborodko2 ⚽
D. Plakhtyr1 ⚽
Probiy Horodenka
A. Fesenko6 ⚽
M. Girnyi6 ⚽
I. Guk2 ⚽
D. Goncharuk1 ⚽
O. Lepskyi1 ⚽
V. Napuda1 ⚽

Cards Given

Chernihiv
D. Bezborodko3 🟨
D. Plakhtyr3 🟨
A. Romanchenko2 🟨
M. Tatarenko2 🟨
O. Zenchenko2 🟨
P. Shushko2 🟨
Probiy Horodenka
V. Savchyn4 🟨
M. Girnyi3 🟨
R. Kharuk2 🟨
A. Kozachuk2 🟨
O. Lepskyi2 🟨
A. Savitskyi2 🟨