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UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka — Persha Liga

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Ukraine · Persha Liga · Regular Season - 15
UCSA
UCSA
13º · 0.92 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 8h
vs
–
–
Probiy Horodenka
Probiy Horodenka
15º · 0.69 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 8h
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UCSA and Probiy Horodenka meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. UCSA have recorded 4 wins from 17 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.12 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Probiy Horodenka have won 19% of their 16 matches, with 1.06 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for UCSA and 1.22 for Probiy Horodenka. The models give UCSA a 53% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Probiy Horodenka win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 61%.

Season Statistics

UCSA
—
Probiy Horodenka
13º
Position
15º
0.92
PPG
0.69
17%
Win %
15%
1.25
Goals / game
0.92
1.58
Conceded / game
2.46
41%
BTTS %
63%
41%
Clean sheet %
0%
59%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

UCSA
Home (6)
—
Probiy Horodenka
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
0.50
33%
Win %
17%
1.67
Goals / game
0.83
1.67
Conceded / game
3.17
50%
BTTS %
63%
38%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

UCSAHomeAwayProbiy HorodenkaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored59%75%44%63%63%63%
Over 1.5 Scored29%38%22%31%25%38%
Over 2.5 Scored18%38%0%13%13%13%
Failed To Score41%25%56%38%38%38%

Goals Conceded

UCSAHomeAwayProbiy HorodenkaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded59%63%56%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded53%63%44%69%63%75%
Over 2.5 Conceded29%25%33%38%13%63%
Clean Sheets41%38%44%0%0%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

UCSAProbiy Horodenka
Over 0.576%100%
Over 1.559%100%
Over 2.559%63%
Over 3.529%44%
Over 4.518%25%
BTTS41%63%
BTTS & Win6%19%
BTTS & Draw12%25%
BTTS & Over 2.541%44%
BTTS No & Over 2.518%19%

1st Half / 2nd Half

UCSAProbiy Horodenka
Win 1st Half20%6%
Draw 1st Half60%19%
Loss 1st Half20%75%
Scored 1st Half47%19%
Conceded 1st Half33%81%
Win 2nd Half27%31%
Draw 2nd Half47%19%
Loss 2nd Half27%50%
Scored 2nd Half53%56%
Conceded 2nd Half53%69%
Over 0.5 HT53%88%
Over 1.5 HT27%25%

Recent Venue Form

UCSA (H)
LYarud Mariupol'1–2
DViktoriya Mykolaivka0–0
WChernihiv3–2
LInhulets1–2
LKolos Kovalivka0–3
WNyva Ternopil1–0
Probiy Horodenka (A)
LOleksandria0–2
WKulykiv2–1
LKolos Kovalivka II2–4
LAhrobiznes Volochysk0–6
WLokomotiv Kyiv3–1
LPrykarpattia0–3

Head to Head · 2 matches

0
UCSA
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Probiy Horodenka
50%
0%
Over 1.5
0/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
12/04/26
Probiy Horodenka
1–0
UCSA
27/09/25
UCSA
0–0
Probiy Horodenka
Persha Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka13742+725
2SK Poltava13733+1324
3Yarud Mariupol'13733+724
4Oleksandria13652+823
5Ahrobiznes Volochysk12723+523
6Kulykiv12633+1121
7Lokomotiv Kyiv12453+217
8Prykarpattia13445-216
9Nyva Ternopil12363+215
10Metal Kharkiv13436-315
11Inhulets11425-514
12Kolos Kovalivka II12417-813
13UCSA12255-411
14Chernihiv11245-410
15Probiy Horodenka13238-209
16Polissya II13157-98

Team Insights

UCSA
  • ●UCSA have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●UCSA failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●67% of UCSA's goals have been scored at home.
Probiy Horodenka
  • ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Probiy Horodenka have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
UCSAUCSA
DAKolos Kovalivka II12º0–0
LHYarud Mariupol'3º1–2
LAAhrobiznes Volochysk5º2–3
DHViktoriya Mykolaivka1º0–0
LAPrykarpattia8º0–1
WHChernihiv14º3–2
LAMetal Kharkiv10º1–3
LHInhulets11º1–2
LHKolos Kovalivka0–3
DASK Poltava2º0–0
Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka
LAOleksandria4º0–2
DHPolissya II16º1–1
WHSK Poltava2º3–2
WAKulykiv6º2–1
LHLokomotiv Kyiv7º0–2
LAKolos Kovalivka II12º2–4
LHYarud Mariupol'3º0–2
DHOleksandria1–1
LAAhrobiznes Volochysk5º0–6
LHViktoriya Mykolaivka1º0–3

Season Schedule

UCSA
DAKolos Kovalivka II0–0
LHYarud Mariupol'1–2
LAAhrobiznes Volochysk2–3
DHViktoriya Mykolaivka0–0
LAPrykarpattia0–1
WHChernihiv3–2
–AKulykiv01/11
–HProbiy Horodenka07/11
–HPolissya II14/11
Probiy Horodenka
LAOleksandria0–2
DHPolissya II1–1
WHSK Poltava3–2
WAKulykiv2–1
LHLokomotiv Kyiv0–2
LAKolos Kovalivka II2–4
–HNyva Ternopil01/11
–AUCSA07/11
–AInhulets14/11

Top Scorers

UCSA
P. Castro4 ⚽
M. Sytnykov3 ⚽
O. Khoblenko3 ⚽
R. Yuvkhymets2 ⚽
M. Zherebetskyi1 ⚽
V. Wojciechowski1 ⚽
Probiy Horodenka
A. Fesenko6 ⚽
M. Girnyi6 ⚽
I. Guk2 ⚽
D. Goncharuk1 ⚽
O. Lepskyi1 ⚽
V. Napuda1 ⚽

Cards Given

UCSA
5 🟨
R. Yuvkhymets3 🟨
M. Sytnykov3 🟨
O. Zhdanovych2 🟨
O. Osman2 🟨
M. Andrushchenko2 🟨
Probiy Horodenka
V. Savchyn4 🟨
M. Girnyi3 🟨
R. Kharuk2 🟨
A. Kozachuk2 🟨
O. Lepskyi2 🟨
A. Savitskyi2 🟨