Probiy Horodenka vs Nyva Ternopil — Persha Liga
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Probiy Horodenka and Nyva Ternopil meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Probiy Horodenka have recorded 3 wins from 16 matches this season (19% win rate), averaging 1.06 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Nyva Ternopil have won 28% of their 18 matches, with 1.06 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.07 for Probiy Horodenka and 1.26 for Nyva Ternopil. The models give Probiy Horodenka a 32% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Nyva Ternopil win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Probiy Horodenka—
Nyva Ternopil15º
Position
9º
0.69
PPG
1.25
15%
Win %
25%
0.92
Goals / game
1.00
2.46
Conceded / game
0.83
63%
BTTS %
61%
0%
Clean sheet %
22%
63%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Probiy Horodenka
Home (7)
—
Nyva Ternopil
Away (9)
0.86
PPG
1.22
14%
Win %
22%
1.00
Goals / game
0.89
1.86
Conceded / game
0.78
63%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
17%
38%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Probiy Horodenka | Home | Away | Nyva Ternopil | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 63% | 63% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 25% | 38% | 22% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 13% | 13% | 17% | 33% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 38% | 38% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Probiy Horodenka | Home | Away | Nyva Ternopil | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 78% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 69% | 63% | 75% | 28% | 50% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 13% | 63% | 11% | 17% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 33% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Probiy Horodenka | Nyva Ternopil | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 11% |
| BTTS | 63% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Probiy Horodenka | Nyva Ternopil | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 6% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 19% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 75% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 19% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 81% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Probiy Horodenka (H)D
Polissya II1–1
Polissya II1–1W
SK Poltava3–2
SK Poltava3–2L
Lokomotiv Kyiv0–2
Lokomotiv Kyiv0–2L
Yarud Mariupol'0–2
Yarud Mariupol'0–2D
Oleksandria1–1
Oleksandria1–1L
Viktoriya Mykolaivka0–3
Viktoriya Mykolaivka0–3Nyva Ternopil (A)DLokomotiv Kyiv0–0
Lokomotiv Kyiv0–0DYarud Mariupol'0–0
Yarud Mariupol'0–0WViktoriya Mykolaivka3–1
Viktoriya Mykolaivka3–1L
Chernihiv0–1
Chernihiv0–1D
Metal Kharkiv1–1
Metal Kharkiv1–1W
Inhulets2–1
Inhulets2–1Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Probiy Horodenka
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Nyva Ternopil
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
29/03/26Probiy Horodenka
Nyva Ternopil
0–0Probiy Horodenka05/09/25Nyva Ternopil
Probiy Horodenka
1–2Nyva Ternopil| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 | SK Poltava | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 | Yarud Mariupol' | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 | Oleksandria | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 |  Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kulykiv | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +11 | 21 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Prykarpattia | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Nyva Ternopil | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | Metal Kharkiv | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 |  Kolos Kovalivka II | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 |  UCSA | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Chernihiv | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -20 | 9 |
| 16 | Polissya II | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -9 | 8 |
Team Insights
Probiy Horodenka- ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Probiy Horodenka have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
Nyva Ternopil- ●Nyva Ternopil have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Nyva Ternopil have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Nyva Ternopil have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Nyva Ternopil failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●67% of Nyva Ternopil's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Nyva Ternopil's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●73% of Nyva Ternopil's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Probiy HorodenkaLAOleksandria0–2
Oleksandria0–2DHPolissya II1–1
Polissya II1–1WHSK Poltava3–2
SK Poltava3–2WAKulykiv2–1
Kulykiv2–1LHLokomotiv Kyiv0–2
Lokomotiv Kyiv0–2LAKolos Kovalivka II2–4
Kolos Kovalivka II2–4–HNyva Ternopil01/11
Nyva Ternopil01/11–AUCSA07/11
UCSA07/11–AInhulets14/11
Inhulets14/11Nyva TernopilDALokomotiv Kyiv0–0
Lokomotiv Kyiv0–0WHKolos Kovalivka II3–1
Kolos Kovalivka II3–1DAYarud Mariupol'0–0
Yarud Mariupol'0–0DHAhrobiznes Volochysk0–0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–0WAViktoriya Mykolaivka3–1
Viktoriya Mykolaivka3–1LHPrykarpattia1–2
Prykarpattia1–2–HKulykiv25/10
Kulykiv25/10–AProbiy Horodenka01/11
Probiy Horodenka01/11–HPolissya II07/11
Polissya II07/11Top Scorers
Probiy HorodenkaA. Fesenko6 ⚽
M. Girnyi6 ⚽
I. Guk2 ⚽
D. Goncharuk1 ⚽
O. Lepskyi1 ⚽
V. Napuda1 ⚽
Nyva TernopilA. Boryachuk4 ⚽
M. Pezhynskyi3 ⚽
A. Gabelok1 ⚽
D. Rezepov1 ⚽
I. Snurnitsyn1 ⚽
M. Mykhalchuk1 ⚽
Cards Given
Probiy HorodenkaV. Savchyn4 🟨
M. Girnyi3 🟨
R. Kharuk2 🟨
A. Kozachuk2 🟨
O. Lepskyi2 🟨
A. Savitskyi2 🟨
Nyva TernopilT. Galas2 🟨
B. Vyshynskyi2 🟨
M. Mysyk2 🟨
N. Kasarda2 🟨
I. Snurnitsyn2 🟨
D. Rezepov1 🟨