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Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol' — Persha Liga

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Ukraine · Persha Liga · Regular Season - 14
Chernihiv
Chernihiv
14º · 0.91 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 15d 1h
vs
–
–
Yarud Mariupol'
Yarud Mariupol'
3º · 1.85 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 8d 23h
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Chernihiv and Yarud Mariupol' meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Chernihiv have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Yarud Mariupol' have won 47% of their 19 matches, with 1.68 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 26%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.22 for Chernihiv and 1.32 for Yarud Mariupol'. The models give Chernihiv a 31% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Yarud Mariupol' win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 52%.

Season Statistics

Chernihiv
—
Yarud Mariupol'
14º
Position
3º
0.91
PPG
1.85
18%
Win %
54%
1.09
Goals / game
1.54
1.45
Conceded / game
1.00
73%
BTTS %
53%
13%
Clean sheet %
26%
53%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Chernihiv
Home (3)
—
Yarud Mariupol'
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
2.17
33%
Win %
67%
1.33
Goals / game
1.67
1.00
Conceded / game
0.83
67%
BTTS %
55%
33%
Clean sheet %
36%
33%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

ChernihivHomeAwayYarud Mariupol'HomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored87%100%83%74%50%91%
Over 1.5 Scored40%33%42%53%38%64%
Over 2.5 Scored7%0%8%21%25%18%
Failed To Score13%0%17%26%50%9%

Goals Conceded

ChernihivHomeAwayYarud Mariupol'HomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded87%67%92%74%88%64%
Over 1.5 Conceded53%33%58%21%25%18%
Over 2.5 Conceded20%0%25%11%13%9%
Clean Sheets13%33%8%26%13%36%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ChernihivYarud Mariupol'
Over 0.5100%95%
Over 1.580%89%
Over 2.553%42%
Over 3.533%26%
Over 4.527%16%
BTTS73%53%
BTTS & Win13%26%
BTTS & Draw27%21%
BTTS & Over 2.553%32%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ChernihivYarud Mariupol'
Win 1st Half21%32%
Draw 1st Half57%42%
Loss 1st Half21%26%
Scored 1st Half36%42%
Conceded 1st Half36%37%
Win 2nd Half21%47%
Draw 2nd Half29%21%
Loss 2nd Half50%32%
Scored 2nd Half64%63%
Conceded 2nd Half71%53%
Over 0.5 HT57%68%
Over 1.5 HT21%16%

Recent Venue Form

Chernihiv (H)
WNyva Ternopil1–0
DPolissya II2–2
DKulykiv1–1
LMetal Kharkiv1–2
LInhulets1–2
LDynamo Kyiv1–3
Yarud Mariupol' (A)
WMetal Kharkiv2–0
WUCSA2–1
DOleksandria1–1
WProbiy Horodenka2–0
WLokomotiv Kyiv3–1
WDinaz Vyshhorod6–0

Head to Head · 7 matches

1
Chernihiv
14%
2
Draws
29%
4
Yarud Mariupol'
57%
57%
Over 1.5
4/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
29%
Over 3.5
2/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
21/03/26
Chernihiv
1–4
Yarud Mariupol'
18/03/26
Chernihiv
0–0
Yarud Mariupol'
31/08/25
Yarud Mariupol'
1–0
Chernihiv
22/10/23
Yarud Mariupol'
3–1
Chernihiv
13/09/23
Chernihiv
0–1
Yarud Mariupol'
07/05/23
Yarud Mariupol'
1–1
Chernihiv
08/04/23
Chernihiv
2–1
Yarud Mariupol'
Persha Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka13742+725
2SK Poltava13733+1324
3Yarud Mariupol'13733+724
4Oleksandria13652+823
5Ahrobiznes Volochysk12723+523
6Kulykiv12633+1121
7Lokomotiv Kyiv12453+217
8Prykarpattia13445-216
9Nyva Ternopil12363+215
10Metal Kharkiv13436-315
11Inhulets11425-514
12Kolos Kovalivka II12417-813
13UCSA12255-411
14Chernihiv11245-410
15Probiy Horodenka13238-209
16Polissya II13157-98

Team Insights

Chernihiv
  • ●Chernihiv have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Chernihiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●Chernihiv have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●Chernihiv have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●67% of Chernihiv's goals have been scored away.
  • ●81% of Chernihiv's goals conceded were conceded away.
Yarud Mariupol'
  • ●Yarud Mariupol' have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Yarud Mariupol' have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Yarud Mariupol' have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Yarud Mariupol' have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Yarud Mariupol' have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Yarud Mariupol' failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Yarud Mariupol' have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Yarud Mariupol' have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
ChernihivChernihiv
LAViktoriya Mykolaivka1º1–2
WAPrykarpattia8º1–0
WATrostianets4–2
LASK Poltava2º2–3
LAMetal Kharkiv10º0–2
LAUCSA13º2–3
WHNyva Ternopil9º1–0
LAOleksandria4º0–1
WALSTM Lutsk2–1
DHPolissya II16º2–2
Yarud Mariupol'Yarud Mariupol'
WAMetal Kharkiv10º2–0
WHInhulets11º4–1
WAUCSA13º2–1
DHNyva Ternopil9º0–0
DAOleksandria4º1–1
WHPolissya II16º2–1
WAProbiy Horodenka15º2–0
LHZorya Luhansk0–2
DHKulykiv6º1–1
WALokomotiv Kyiv7º3–1

Season Schedule

Chernihiv
LAViktoriya Mykolaivka1–2
WAPrykarpattia1–0
LASK Poltava2–3
LAMetal Kharkiv0–2
LAUCSA2–3
WHNyva Ternopil1–0
–HYarud Mariupol'01/11
–HKolos Kovalivka II07/11
–HInhulets11/11
Yarud Mariupol'
WAMetal Kharkiv2–0
WHInhulets4–1
WAUCSA2–1
DHNyva Ternopil0–0
DAOleksandria1–1
WHPolissya II2–1
–AChernihiv01/11
–APrykarpattia07/11
–AViktoriya Mykolaivka14/11

Top Scorers

Chernihiv
A. Novikov4 ⚽
Y. Shalfeev2 ⚽
S. Galoyan2 ⚽
M. Serdyuk2 ⚽
D. Bezborodko2 ⚽
D. Plakhtyr1 ⚽
Yarud Mariupol'
S. Kyslenko6 ⚽
A. Remenyak4 ⚽
N. Grytsak3 ⚽
V. Kucherov3 ⚽
V. Sydorenko2 ⚽
O. Synytsya2 ⚽

Cards Given

Chernihiv
D. Bezborodko3 🟨
D. Plakhtyr3 🟨
A. Romanchenko2 🟨
M. Tatarenko2 🟨
O. Zenchenko2 🟨
P. Shushko2 🟨
Yarud Mariupol'
M. Podolyak4 🟨
N. Grytsak3 🟨
K. Tsyurpalevych-Semochko3 🟨
V. Sydorenko3 🟨
O. Nikolyshyn2 🟨
P. Orikhovskyi1 🟨