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UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv — Persha Liga

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UCSA
UCSA
13º · 0.92 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 8d 1h
1 – 2
HT 1–2
39′
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Lokomotiv Kyiv
7º · 1.42 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 1h
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UCSA and Lokomotiv Kyiv meet in the Persha Liga 2026 season on 25 October 2026. UCSA have recorded 4 wins from 17 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.12 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Lokomotiv Kyiv have won 29% of their 14 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 36%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for UCSA and 1.43 for Lokomotiv Kyiv. The models give UCSA a 33% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Lokomotiv Kyiv win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

UCSA
—
Lokomotiv Kyiv
13º
Position
7º
0.92
PPG
1.42
17%
Win %
33%
1.25
Goals / game
1.25
1.58
Conceded / game
1.08
41%
BTTS %
50%
41%
Clean sheet %
36%
59%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

UCSA
Home (6)
—
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Away (5)
1.33
PPG
1.60
33%
Win %
40%
1.67
Goals / game
1.40
1.67
Conceded / game
0.80
50%
BTTS %
33%
38%
Clean sheet %
50%
75%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

UCSAHomeAwayLokomotiv KyivHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored59%75%44%64%75%50%
Over 1.5 Scored29%38%22%36%25%50%
Over 2.5 Scored18%38%0%14%13%17%
Failed To Score41%25%56%36%25%50%

Goals Conceded

UCSAHomeAwayLokomotiv KyivHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded59%63%56%64%75%50%
Over 1.5 Conceded53%63%44%29%38%17%
Over 2.5 Conceded29%25%33%21%38%0%
Clean Sheets41%38%44%36%25%50%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

UCSALokomotiv Kyiv
Over 0.576%79%
Over 1.559%57%
Over 2.559%43%
Over 3.529%36%
Over 4.518%7%
BTTS41%50%
BTTS & Win6%14%
BTTS & Draw12%21%
BTTS & Over 2.541%43%
BTTS No & Over 2.518%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

UCSALokomotiv Kyiv
Win 1st Half20%21%
Draw 1st Half60%64%
Loss 1st Half20%14%
Scored 1st Half47%29%
Conceded 1st Half33%29%
Win 2nd Half27%29%
Draw 2nd Half47%36%
Loss 2nd Half27%36%
Scored 2nd Half53%50%
Conceded 2nd Half53%50%
Over 0.5 HT53%43%
Over 1.5 HT27%14%

Recent Venue Form

UCSA (H)
LYarud Mariupol'1–2
DViktoriya Mykolaivka0–0
WChernihiv3–2
LInhulets1–2
LKolos Kovalivka0–3
WNyva Ternopil1–0
Lokomotiv Kyiv (A)
WOleksandria3–1
WProbiy Horodenka2–0
LKolos Kovalivka II0–1
DAhrobiznes Volochysk0–0
DPrykarpattia2–2
DObolon'-Brovar0–0

Head to Head · 2 matches

0
UCSA
0%
2
Draws
100%
0
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
03/11/23
UCSA
1–1
Lokomotiv Kyiv
07/08/23
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0–0
UCSA

Events

6'⚽O. Sakhnenko
13'⚽V. Tymenko
36'⚽M. Sytnykov
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka13742+725
2SK Poltava13733+1324
3Yarud Mariupol'13733+724
4Oleksandria13652+823
5Ahrobiznes Volochysk12723+523
6Kulykiv12633+1121
7Lokomotiv Kyiv12453+217
8Prykarpattia13445-216
9Nyva Ternopil12363+215
10Metal Kharkiv13436-315
11Inhulets11425-514
12Kolos Kovalivka II12417-813
13UCSA12255-411
14Chernihiv11245-410
15Probiy Horodenka13238-209
16Polissya II13157-98

Team Insights

UCSA
  • ●UCSA have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●UCSA failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●67% of UCSA's goals have been scored at home.
Lokomotiv Kyiv
  • ●Lokomotiv Kyiv have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
  • ●Lokomotiv Kyiv have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Lokomotiv Kyiv have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Lokomotiv Kyiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●69% of Lokomotiv Kyiv's goals conceded were conceded at home.
LHYarud Mariupol'3º1–2
LAPrykarpattia8º0–1
WHChernihiv14º3–2
LAMetal Kharkiv10º1–3
LHInhulets11º1–2
DASK Poltava2º0–0

Season Schedule

UCSA
DAKolos Kovalivka II0–0
LHYarud Mariupol'1–2
LAAhrobiznes Volochysk2–3
DHViktoriya Mykolaivka0–0
LAPrykarpattia0–1
WHChernihiv3–2
–AKulykiv01/11
–HProbiy Horodenka07/11
–HPolissya II14/11
Lokomotiv Kyiv
DHNyva Ternopil0–0
WAOleksandria3–1
DHPolissya II3–3
WAProbiy Horodenka2–0
WHKulykiv1–0
WHSK Poltava2–1
–HInhulets31/10
–AMetal Kharkiv07/11
–AChernihiv14/11

Top Scorers

UCSA
P. Castro4 ⚽
M. Sytnykov3 ⚽
O. Khoblenko3 ⚽
R. Yuvkhymets2 ⚽
M. Zherebetskyi1 ⚽
V. Wojciechowski1 ⚽
Lokomotiv Kyiv
O. Sakhnenko6 ⚽
B. Mordas4 ⚽
S. Myakushko3 ⚽
O. Savchuk2 ⚽
R. Savchenko1 ⚽
A. Golovatenko1 ⚽

Cards Given

UCSA
5 🟨
R. Yuvkhymets3 🟨
M. Sytnykov3 🟨
O. Zhdanovych2 🟨
O. Osman2 🟨
M. Andrushchenko2 🟨
Lokomotiv Kyiv
O. Sakhnenko3 🟨
T. Titarenko3 🟨
B. Manuilov2 🟨
O. Savchuk2 🟨
B. Mordas2 🟨
S. Myakushko2 🟨