Trethomas Bluebirds vs Treowen Stars — FAW Championship
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Trethomas Bluebirds and Treowen Stars meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 18 December 2026. Trethomas Bluebirds have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 2.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Treowen Stars have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 1.82 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.07 for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.91 for Treowen Stars. The models give Trethomas Bluebirds a 43% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Treowen Stars win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Trethomas Bluebirds—
Treowen Stars7º
Position
8º
1.33
PPG
1.45
33%
Win %
45%
2.00
Goals / game
1.82
1.75
Conceded / game
1.91
80%
BTTS %
73%
7%
Clean sheet %
27%
80%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Trethomas Bluebirds
Home (6)
—
Treowen Stars
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
2.33
Goals / game
2.00
2.00
Conceded / game
2.00
71%
BTTS %
67%
14%
Clean sheet %
33%
86%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Home | Away | Treowen Stars | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 71% | 88% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 71% | 25% | 55% | 40% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 29% | 25% | 18% | 20% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 29% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Home | Away | Treowen Stars | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 86% | 100% | 73% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 71% | 63% | 55% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 43% | 25% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 14% | 0% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Treowen Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 36% |
| BTTS | 80% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Treowen Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 87% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 93% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 87% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Trethomas Bluebirds (H)W
Cardiff Draconians3–1
Cardiff Draconians3–1L
Pontardawe Town2–3
Pontardawe Town2–3D
Caerphilly Athletic2–2
Caerphilly Athletic2–2W
Afan Lido5–2
Afan Lido5–2L
Caerau (Ely)2–4
Caerau (Ely)2–4D
Baglan Dragons0–0
Baglan Dragons0–0Treowen Stars (A)WBaglan Dragons1–0
Baglan Dragons1–0LPontardawe Town1–6
Pontardawe Town1–6W
llanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0LCaerau (Ely)2–3
Caerau (Ely)2–3W
Carmarthen Town4–2
Carmarthen Town4–2W
Aberystwyth Town2–1
Aberystwyth Town2–1Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Trethomas Bluebirds
33%
1
Draws
33%
1
Treowen Stars
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
10/10/26Trethomas Bluebirds
Treowen Stars
1–3Trethomas Bluebirds26/12/25Trethomas Bluebirds
Treowen Stars
2–0Trethomas Bluebirds25/08/25Treowen Stars
Trethomas Bluebirds
1–1Treowen Stars| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 31 |
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 |  Mold Alexandra | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 3 | Caerau (Ely) | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 4 |  Porthmadog | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 |  Swansea University | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 21 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 5 |  Ynyshir Albions | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 | Baglan Dragons | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 | Treowen Stars | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Carmarthen Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Pontardawe Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -31 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -31 | 1 |
Team Insights
Trethomas Bluebirds- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Trethomas Bluebirds have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Treowen Stars- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Treowen Stars have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●75% of Treowen Stars's points have been earned away.
- ●Treowen Stars have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Trethomas BluebirdsLAAberystwyth Town1–2
Aberystwyth Town1–2WHCardiff Draconians3–1
Cardiff Draconians3–1WATreowen Stars3–1
Treowen Stars3–1LHPontardawe Town2–3
Pontardawe Town2–3DAYnyshir Albions1–1
Ynyshir Albions1–1DHCaerphilly Athletic2–2
Caerphilly Athletic2–2–HLlantwit Major07/11
Llantwit Major07/11–ASwansea University20/11
Swansea University20/11–HYnyshir Albions28/11
Ynyshir Albions28/11Treowen StarsWABaglan Dragons1–0
Baglan Dragons1–0LHTrethomas Bluebirds1–3
Trethomas Bluebirds1–3LHYnyshir Albions1–2
Ynyshir Albions1–2LAPontardawe Town1–6
Pontardawe Town1–6DHLlantwit Major1–1
Llantwit Major1–1WAllanelli AFC2–0
llanelli AFC2–0–ANewport City06/11
Newport City06/11–ASwansea University13/11
Swansea University13/11–HAfan Lido21/11
Afan Lido21/11Top Scorers
Trethomas BluebirdsN. Ferreira7 ⚽
J. Thomas4 ⚽
J. Hood2 ⚽
L. C. Jeanne1 ⚽
L. Rees1 ⚽
O. Rees1 ⚽
Treowen StarsT. Hillman6 ⚽
C. Davies3 ⚽
T. Gameson3 ⚽
L. Oliver2 ⚽
M. Evans2 ⚽
J. Foxwell1 ⚽
Cards Given
Trethomas BluebirdsTreowen StarsG. Meacham1 🟨
J. Evans1 🟨