Pontypridd Town vs Ynyshir Albions — FAW Championship
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Pontypridd Town and Ynyshir Albions meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 18 December 2026. Pontypridd Town have recorded 7 wins from 12 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 2.67 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 83% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Ynyshir Albions have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 1.73 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Pontypridd Town and 1.38 for Ynyshir Albions. The models give Pontypridd Town a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Ynyshir Albions win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Pontypridd Town—
Ynyshir Albions1º
Position
5º
2.00
PPG
1.90
58%
Win %
50%
2.67
Goals / game
1.90
1.75
Conceded / game
1.10
83%
BTTS %
64%
8%
Clean sheet %
27%
83%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Pontypridd Town
Home (6)
—
Ynyshir Albions
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
1.50
67%
Win %
33%
2.33
Goals / game
1.17
1.33
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
57%
17%
Clean sheet %
29%
83%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Pontypridd Town | Home | Away | Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 83% | 100% | 82% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 67% | 83% | 36% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 58% | 50% | 67% | 18% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 17% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Pontypridd Town | Home | Away | Ynyshir Albions | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 83% | 100% | 73% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 33% | 50% | 45% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 17% | 33% | 9% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 17% | 0% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pontypridd Town | Ynyshir Albions | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 18% |
| BTTS | 83% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pontypridd Town | Ynyshir Albions | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 9% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 73% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Pontypridd Town (H)W
llanelli AFC4–0
llanelli AFC4–0W
Llantwit Major4–1
Llantwit Major4–1L
Aberystwyth Town1–3
Aberystwyth Town1–3L
Afan Lido0–1
Afan Lido0–1W
Trethomas Bluebirds2–1
Trethomas Bluebirds2–1W
Pontardawe Town3–2
Pontardawe Town3–2Ynyshir Albions (A)L
Cardiff MET0–4
Cardiff MET0–4W
Treowen Stars2–1
Treowen Stars2–1D
Carmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DAfan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0W
Newport City1–0
Newport City1–0L
Caerphilly Athletic1–2
Caerphilly Athletic1–2Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Pontypridd Town
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Ynyshir Albions
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
100%
Over 3.5
2/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
14/02/26Pontypridd Town
Ynyshir Albions
1–3Pontypridd Town08/08/25Ynyshir Albions
Pontypridd Town
2–3Ynyshir Albions| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 31 |
| 1 | Pontypridd Town | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 |  Mold Alexandra | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Caerau (Ely) | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 4 |  Porthmadog | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 |  Swansea University | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 21 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 5 | Ynyshir Albions | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Baglan Dragons | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 | Treowen Stars | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Carmarthen Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Pontardawe Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Newport City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 14 |  Cardiff Draconians | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -31 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -31 | 1 |
Team Insights
Pontypridd Town- ●Pontypridd Town have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Pontypridd Town have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Ynyshir Albions- ●Ynyshir Albions have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ynyshir Albions have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Ynyshir Albions's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Pontypridd TownWHllanelli AFC4–0
llanelli AFC4–0DANewport City4–4
Newport City4–4DABaglan Dragons1–1
Baglan Dragons1–1WHLlantwit Major4–1
Llantwit Major4–1LHAberystwyth Town1–3
Aberystwyth Town1–3WACaerphilly Athletic2–1
Caerphilly Athletic2–1–ACaerau (Ely)06/11
Caerau (Ely)06/11–HCarmarthen Town20/11
Carmarthen Town20/11–AAberystwyth Town28/11
Aberystwyth Town28/11Ynyshir AlbionsWHSwansea University4–2
Swansea University4–2WHllanelli AFC6–2
llanelli AFC6–2WATreowen Stars2–1
Treowen Stars2–1DHTrethomas Bluebirds1–1
Trethomas Bluebirds1–1DACarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DAAfan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0–ABaglan Dragons06/11
Baglan Dragons06/11–HLlantwit Major21/11
Llantwit Major21/11–ATrethomas Bluebirds28/11
Trethomas Bluebirds28/11Top Scorers
Pontypridd TownE. Edwards10 ⚽
J. Stephens3 ⚽
G. Tedstone2 ⚽
J. Bevan2 ⚽
J. Jones2 ⚽
L. Angel2 ⚽
Ynyshir AlbionsJ. Haig4 ⚽
D. Facey4 ⚽
C. Morgan1 ⚽
J. Griffiths1 ⚽
J. Norton1 ⚽
S. Jones1 ⚽
Cards Given
Pontypridd TownL. Angel2 🟨
Ynyshir AlbionsJ. Norton2 🟨