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Afan Lido vs Carmarthen Town — FAW Championship

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Wales · FAW Championship · South - 18
Afan Lido
Afan Lido
10º · 1.15 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 48d 5h
vs
–
–
Carmarthen Town
Carmarthen Town
9º · 1.25 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 48d 5h
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Afan Lido and Carmarthen Town meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 18 December 2026. Afan Lido have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Carmarthen Town have won 31% of their 16 matches, with 2.19 goals scored and 2.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 100%, Over 2.5 at 100%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.84 for Afan Lido and 1.77 for Carmarthen Town. The models give Afan Lido a 40% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Carmarthen Town win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 70%.

Season Statistics

Afan Lido
—
Carmarthen Town
10º
Position
9º
1.15
PPG
1.25
31%
Win %
33%
1.62
Goals / game
2.00
1.85
Conceded / game
2.17
47%
BTTS %
100%
40%
Clean sheet %
0%
60%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Afan Lido
Home (6)
—
Carmarthen Town
Away (5)
1.50
PPG
1.60
33%
Win %
40%
2.17
Goals / game
1.80
1.67
Conceded / game
1.60
43%
BTTS %
100%
57%
Clean sheet %
0%
57%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Afan LidoHomeAwayCarmarthen TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored73%71%75%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Scored40%57%25%75%73%80%
Over 2.5 Scored20%29%13%25%36%0%
Failed To Score27%29%25%0%0%0%

Goals Conceded

Afan LidoHomeAwayCarmarthen TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded60%43%75%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded60%43%75%81%91%60%
Over 2.5 Conceded33%43%25%44%64%0%
Clean Sheets40%57%25%0%0%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Afan LidoCarmarthen Town
Over 0.587%100%
Over 1.573%100%
Over 2.560%100%
Over 3.540%75%
Over 4.533%38%
BTTS47%100%
BTTS & Win0%31%
BTTS & Draw7%19%
BTTS & Over 2.547%100%
BTTS No & Over 2.513%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Afan LidoCarmarthen Town
Win 1st Half20%31%
Draw 1st Half60%38%
Loss 1st Half20%31%
Scored 1st Half47%75%
Conceded 1st Half47%56%
Win 2nd Half33%38%
Draw 2nd Half13%19%
Loss 2nd Half53%44%
Scored 2nd Half67%69%
Conceded 2nd Half53%69%
Over 0.5 HT60%88%
Over 1.5 HT47%69%

Recent Venue Form

Afan Lido (H)
LPenybont2–3
DSwansea University5–5
DNewport City0–0
DYnyshir Albions0–0
WPontardawe Town1–0
WLlantwit Major5–0
Carmarthen Town (A)
LPontardawe Town1–2
DCardiff Draconians2–2
WBaglan Dragons2–1
Dllanelli AFC2–2
WNewport City2–1
LTreowen Stars1–4

Head to Head · 19 matches

7
Afan Lido
37%
5
Draws
26%
7
Carmarthen Town
37%
84%
Over 1.5
16/19
79%
Over 2.5
15/19
58%
Over 3.5
11/19
58%
BTTS
11/19
14/08/26
Carmarthen Town
3–1
Afan Lido
23/01/26
Afan Lido
0–1
Carmarthen Town
24/10/25
Carmarthen Town
1–0
Afan Lido
01/03/25
Carmarthen Town
2–2
Afan Lido
27/09/24
Afan Lido
3–3
Carmarthen Town
02/02/24
Afan Lido
4–1
Carmarthen Town
30/09/23
Carmarthen Town
3–3
Afan Lido
03/02/23
Afan Lido
3–0
Carmarthen Town
01/10/22
Carmarthen Town
0–3
Afan Lido
18/12/21
Carmarthen Town
4–0
Afan Lido
30/10/21
Afan Lido
0–4
Carmarthen Town
25/10/13
Afan Lido
2–2
Carmarthen Town
14/09/13
Carmarthen Town
3–0
Afan Lido
04/09/12
Afan Lido
2–1
Carmarthen Town
31/08/12
Carmarthen Town
1–1
Afan Lido
14/04/12
Carmarthen Town
3–2
Afan Lido
02/03/12
Afan Lido
5–1
Carmarthen Town
25/11/11
Carmarthen Town
2–5
Afan Lido
23/09/11
Afan Lido
1–0
Carmarthen Town
FAW Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers131012+1731
1Pontypridd Town12732+1124
2Newtown AFC12831+1727
2Aberystwyth Town10712+1422
3Mold Alexandra12732+1524
3Caerau (Ely)12714+322
4Porthmadog13733+624
4Swansea University10631+1721
5Bala Town13634+221
5Ynyshir Albions10541+819
6Caersws12552+720
6Baglan Dragons12525-117
7Bangor City 1876 FC12543+619
7Trethomas Bluebirds12444+316
8Guilsfield13463+218
8Treowen Stars11515-116
9Buckley Town13436+215
9Carmarthen Town12435-215
10Llanuwchllyn13436-815
10Afan Lido13436-315
11Holyhead Hotspur12426-314
11Caerphilly Athletic12426-614
12Pontardawe Town10415-113
12Denbigh Town12417-213
13Rhyl13265-312
13Newport City10334+412
14Cardiff Draconians10334-312
14Ruthin Town12336-1012
15Llantwit Major11326-1211
15Gresford Athletic11218-177
16llanelli AFC130211-312
16Penrhyncoch120111-311

Team Insights

Afan Lido
  • ●Afan Lido have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Afan Lido have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Afan Lido failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Afan Lido have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Afan Lido have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●62% of Afan Lido's goals have been scored at home.
Carmarthen Town
  • ●Carmarthen Town have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Carmarthen Town have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●63% of Carmarthen Town's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●69% of Carmarthen Town's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Afan LidoAfan Lido
LACardiff Draconians14º0–2
WAllanelli AFC16º3–0
LHPenybont2–3
DHSwansea University4º5–5
LACaerau (Ely)3º0–2
DHNewport City13º0–0
WAPontypridd Town1º1–0
LABaglan Dragons6º1–2
DHYnyshir Albions5º0–0
LATrethomas Bluebirds7º2–5
Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town
LAPontardawe Town12º1–2
LHCaerphilly Athletic11º1–3
LHNewport City4–5
DACardiff Draconians14º2–2
LHLlantwit Major15º1–2
WABaglan Dragons6º2–1
DHYnyshir Albions5º2–2
LHTrethomas Bluebirds7º2–3
DAllanelli AFC16º2–2
LHTreowen Stars8º2–4

Season Schedule

Afan Lido
LACardiff Draconians0–2
WAllanelli AFC3–0
DHSwansea University5–5
LACaerau (Ely)0–2
DHNewport City0–0
WAPontypridd Town1–0
–HCaerphilly Athletic06/11
–ATreowen Stars21/11
–HCaerau (Ely)27/11
Carmarthen Town
LAPontardawe Town1–2
LHCaerphilly Athletic1–3
DACardiff Draconians2–2
LHLlantwit Major1–2
WABaglan Dragons2–1
DHYnyshir Albions2–2
–HAberystwyth Town07/11
–APontypridd Town20/11
–HSwansea University27/11

Top Scorers

Afan Lido
L. Griffiths5 ⚽
A. Giardelli5 ⚽
J. Pascoe2 ⚽
B. Roberts2 ⚽
C. Keetch2 ⚽
1 ⚽
Carmarthen Town
L. Reed7 ⚽
7 ⚽
L. Thomas4 ⚽
H. Jones3 ⚽
R. Bevan2 ⚽
T. Aylward2 ⚽

Cards Given

Afan Lido
Carmarthen Town
L. Thomas1 🟨
R. Jenkins1 🟨