Newport City vs Cardiff Draconians — FAW Championship
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
From€8.99/Mo
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
Newport City and Cardiff Draconians meet in the FAW Championship 2026 season on 4 December 2026. Newport City have recorded 4 wins from 13 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.85 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Cardiff Draconians have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Newport City and 1.53 for Cardiff Draconians. The models give Newport City a 41% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Cardiff Draconians win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Newport City—
Cardiff Draconians13º
Position
14º
1.20
PPG
1.20
30%
Win %
30%
1.90
Goals / game
1.40
1.50
Conceded / game
1.70
54%
BTTS %
73%
15%
Clean sheet %
18%
62%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Newport City
Home (4)
—
Cardiff Draconians
Away (3)
0.25
PPG
0.33
0%
Win %
0%
1.25
Goals / game
0.33
2.00
Conceded / game
1.33
40%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
25%
60%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Newport City | Home | Away | Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 40% | 75% | 82% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 20% | 63% | 45% | 57% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 20% | 50% | 18% | 14% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 60% | 25% | 18% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Newport City | Home | Away | Cardiff Draconians | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 100% | 75% | 82% | 86% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 60% | 38% | 45% | 57% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 40% | 25% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 0% | 25% | 18% | 14% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newport City | Cardiff Draconians | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 46% | 18% |
| BTTS | 54% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newport City | Cardiff Draconians | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Newport City (H)D
Pontypridd Town4–4
Pontypridd Town4–4L
Ynyshir Albions0–1
Ynyshir Albions0–1L
Baglan Dragons0–1
Baglan Dragons0–1L
Carmarthen Town1–2
Carmarthen Town1–2L
Newport County0–5
Newport County0–5L
Trefelin0–5
Trefelin0–5Cardiff Draconians (A)L
Trethomas Bluebirds1–3
Trethomas Bluebirds1–3W
Radnor Valley3–1
Radnor Valley3–1D
Caerphilly Athletic0–0
Caerphilly Athletic0–0LYnyshir Albions0–1
Ynyshir Albions0–1DTrethomas Bluebirds4–4
Trethomas Bluebirds4–4L
Ammanford AFC1–2
Ammanford AFC1–2Head to Head · 3 matches
2
Newport City
67%
1
Draws
33%
0
Cardiff Draconians
0%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
03/10/26Newport City
Cardiff Draconians
1–1Newport City28/03/26Newport City
Cardiff Draconians
0–1Newport City10/12/25Cardiff Draconians
Newport City
2–1Cardiff Draconians| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 31 |
| 1 | Pontypridd Town | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 |  Mold Alexandra | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Caerau (Ely) | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 4 |  Porthmadog | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 |  Swansea University | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 21 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 5 | Ynyshir Albions | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 | Baglan Dragons | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Treowen Stars | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Carmarthen Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Llanuwchllyn | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 |  Afan Lido | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 |  Pontardawe Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Newport City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 7 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -31 | 2 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -31 | 1 |
Team Insights
Newport City- ●Newport City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Newport City have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Newport City have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Newport City have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Newport City have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●74% of Newport City's goals have been scored away.
- ●92% of Newport City's points have been earned away.
- ●Newport City have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Cardiff Draconians- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●93% of Cardiff Draconians's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Cardiff Draconians's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●92% of Cardiff Draconians's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cardiff Draconians have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Newport CityWALlantwit Major3–2
Llantwit Major3–2DHPontypridd Town4–4
Pontypridd Town4–4LACaerphilly Athletic2–3
Caerphilly Athletic2–3DACardiff Draconians1–1
Cardiff Draconians1–1DAAfan Lido0–0
Afan Lido0–0LHYnyshir Albions0–1
Ynyshir Albions0–1–HTreowen Stars06/11
Treowen Stars06/11–ACaerau (Ely)20/11
Caerau (Ely)20/11–HPontardawe Town27/11
Pontardawe Town27/11Cardiff DraconiansWHAfan Lido2–0
Afan Lido2–0LATrethomas Bluebirds1–3
Trethomas Bluebirds1–3DHCarmarthen Town2–2
Carmarthen Town2–2DHNewport City1–1
Newport City1–1LHCaerau (Ely)1–3
Caerau (Ely)1–3WHBaglan Dragons2–1
Baglan Dragons2–1–ASwansea University07/11
Swansea University07/11–ALlantwit Major14/11
Llantwit Major14/11–HAberystwyth Town21/11
Aberystwyth Town21/11Top Scorers
Newport CityS. Johnson10 ⚽
T. Lynch2 ⚽
2 ⚽
J. Norris1 ⚽
E. Bregua1 ⚽
R. Booth1 ⚽
Cardiff DraconiansL. Gullick4 ⚽
S. Cawley3 ⚽
D. Amin1 ⚽
C. Egan1 ⚽
K. Saunders1 ⚽
H. Samson1 ⚽
Cards Given
Newport CityK. Marsh-Brown1 🟨
Cardiff DraconiansC. Indjai2 🟨
E. Kazadi2 🟨
C. Mace1 🟨
D. Amin1 🟨